AZO — AutoZone Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates AZO Bearish with a Setup Score of 12, net conviction 36, actionability 4. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score12
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction36
Actionability4 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About AutoZone Inc

AutoZone, Inc. operates as a retailer and distributor of automotive replacement parts and accessories in the United States, Mexico, and Brazil. The company offers a product line for cars, sport utility vehicles, vans, and light duty trucks, including new and remanufactured automotive hard parts, maintenance items, accessories, and non-automotive products. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$3072.64
Market Cap$49.15B
Float16.3M
Shares Outstanding16.3M
P/E (Forward)17.51
P/E (TTM)21.10
Price/Sales (TTM)2.46
vs. Analyst Target+29.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin12.40%
Operating Margin (TTM)19.08%
Revenue (TTM)$19.99B
Earnings Growth (YoY)7.70%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$3969.38 (29 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $12.63B $1.73B $6.77B $2.82B
2021 $14.63B $2.17B $7.72B $3.35B
2022 $16.25B $2.43B $8.47B $3.71B
2023 $17.46B $2.53B $9.07B $3.97B
2024 $18.49B $2.66B $9.82B $4.35B
2025 $18.94B $2.50B $9.97B $4.22B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Aug 2025 $6.24B $837M
Nov 2025 $4.63B $531M
Feb 2026 $4.27B $469M
May 2026 $4.84B $641M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.2%
Institutional Ownership94.9%
Short Float2.9%
% of All Funds Holding14.76%
Number of Funds Holding1,213

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$3181.69Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$3525.33Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$3624.57Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$3077.32Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$3476.57Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$3604.44Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$3202.80Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$2950.00 support 2.64x 0 months ago
$3720.00 resistance 1.88x 1 months ago
$3760.00 resistance 1.11x 3 months ago
$3940.00 resistance 1.31x 6 months ago
$4260.00 resistance 1.08x 8 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (99 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.16% 0.02% 53.54% 8.28% -5.30%
1 Day 0.40% 0.48% 56.57% 8.51% -12.14%
1 Week 0.93% 0.92% 59.60% 13.56% -10.66%
2 Weeks 1.18% 1.26% 58.59% 17.17% -21.10%
1 Month 1.66% 1.59% 59.18% 22.89% -22.85%

Next earnings: August 14, 2026 (33 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-2.0%42.9%35
Feb3.0%74.3%35
Mar2.9%57.1%35
Apr1.6%54.3%35
May0.3%41.7%36
Jun-0.1%50.0%36
Jul2.9%65.7%35
Aug-0.3%40.0%35
Sep2.3%62.9%35
Oct2.4%60.0%35
Nov4.5%80.0%35
Dec3.5%68.6%35

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.04% 50.2% 1672
Tuesday 0.12% 49.9% 1823
Wednesday 0.07% 49.7% 1820
Thursday 0.09% 50.7% 1786
Friday 0.10% 52.5% 1776

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 94.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings14
Net Value-$55.8M
Net Shares Change-38
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings7
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Smith Richard Craig Sr. Vice President -$27.2M 2 2 sell
Murphy John Scott Vice President, Controller -$10.1M 1 1 sell
Daniele Philip B. President & CEO -$8.7M 1 1 sell
MRKONIC GEORGE R JR -$1.1M 1 1 sell
Hannasch Brian +$991,639.23 2 2 buy
GEORGE MICHAEL A +$492,728.85 1 1 buy
JACKSON JAMERE CFO +$187,742.5 1 1 buy
GRAVES EARL G JR -$173,936 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-12-11 – 2025-12-22 3 3 +$1.2M 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-29 Hannasch Brian +$492,855 Transaction at $2987.00, now +2.9%
2026-04-13 GRAVES EARL G JR -$173,936 Transaction at $3478.72, now -11.7%
2025-12-11 JACKSON JAMERE CFO +$187,742.5 Transaction at $3413.50, now -10.0%
2026-01-26 Smith Richard Craig Sr. Vice President -$18.4M Transaction at $2143.57, now +43.3%
2026-01-20 Smith Richard Craig Sr. Vice President -$8.8M Transaction at $2122.43, now +44.8%
2025-12-22 GEORGE MICHAEL A +$492,728.85 Transaction at $3398.13, now -9.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for AutoZone Inc (AZO) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AZO on Trend Edge →