SERV — Serve Robotics Inc. Common Stock

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Serve Robotics Inc. Common Stock

Serve Robotics Inc. designs, develops, and operates low-emission robots that serve people in public and commercial spaces for food delivery activity in the United States. It builds self-driving delivery robots. Serve Robotics Inc. was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Redwood City, California. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$8.84
Market Cap$750M
Float70.7M
Shares Outstanding85.1M
Price/Sales (TTM)144.30
vs. Analyst Target+108.7% to analyst PT
Operating Margin (TTM)-1673.49%
Revenue (TTM)$5.2M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$18.45 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 N/A -$21.7M -$42,469 -$21.6M
2022 $107,819 -$21.9M -$1.0M -$20.8M
2023 $207,545 -$24.8M -$1.5M -$17.4M
2024 $1.8M -$39.2M -$75,156 -$38.0M
2025 $2.7M -$101M -$15.4M -$105M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $642,000 -$20.9M
Sep 2025 $686,535 -$33.0M
Dec 2025 $882,000 -$34.3M
Mar 2026 $3.0M -$49.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership8.7%
Institutional Ownership41.0%
Short Float30.2%
% of All Funds Holding2.21%
Number of Funds Holding182

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$8.78Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$10.82Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$11.01Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$10.37Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$10.35Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$0.00Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$15.50 resistance 1.09x 14 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (9 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.64% -3.57% 22.22% 34.04% -8.59%
1 Day -3.67% -6.19% 22.22% 13.72% -16.53%
1 Week -4.66% -9.35% 22.22% 65.09% -31.90%
2 Weeks -2.01% -9.84% 11.11% 72.87% -23.08%
1 Month -0.71% -7.60% 50.00% 94.51% -41.09%

Next earnings: July 26, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.27% 51.4% 107
Tuesday -1.25% 38.8% 116
Wednesday 0.77% 50.0% 112
Thursday 0.50% 46.3% 108
Friday 2.10% 45.9% 111

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 41.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 8.7%

Founder-led management: Ali Kashani (Co-Founder, Chairman, CEO, Treasurer & Secretary), MJ Burk Chun (Co-Founder and VP of Product & Design), Dmitry Demeshchuk (Co-Founder & VP of Software)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings84
Net Value-$8.0M
Net Shares Change-663,319
% of Float-0.9%
C-Suite Filings81
Clusters Detected12

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Kashani Ali Chief Executive Officer -$370,133.36 2 2 sell
Parang Touraj President and COO -$124,959.714 2 2 sell
Read Brian Chief Financial Officer -$52,572.368 5 5 sell
Armenta Anthony Chief Software and Data Officer -$35,027.94 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-07-30 – 2025-08-06 7 6 -$254,975.544 7 C-suite
2025-08-18 – 2025-08-29 4 3 -$317,564.605 3 C-suite
2025-09-02 – 2025-09-11 6 4 -$2.5M 6 C-suite
2025-09-18 – 2025-09-30 5 3 -$599,298.74 4 C-suite
2025-10-07 – 2025-10-17 6 5 -$1.0M 6 C-suite
2025-10-30 – 2025-11-06 9 6 -$665,023.94 9 C-suite
2025-12-03 – 2025-12-16 8 6 -$638,653.969 8 C-suite
2025-12-31 – 2026-01-14 7 6 -$361,601.586 7 C-suite
2026-02-05 – 2026-02-17 12 6 -$475,389.752 12 C-suite
2026-03-04 – 2026-03-16 7 6 -$237,117.94 7 C-suite
2026-04-01 – 2026-04-09 4 3 -$170,491.13 4 C-suite
2026-05-04 – 2026-05-08 4 3 -$375,201.152 4 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-08 Read Brian Chief Financial Officer -$27,780.408 Transaction at $9.29, now -4.8%
2026-05-08 Parang Touraj President and COO -$91,677.894 Transaction at $9.28, now -4.7%
2026-05-08 Kashani Ali Chief Executive Officer -$244,789.94 Transaction at $9.27, now -4.7%
2026-05-04 Read Brian Chief Financial Officer -$10,952.91 Transaction at $9.29, now -4.8%
2026-04-09 Read Brian Chief Financial Officer -$1,724 Transaction at $8.62, now +2.6%
2026-04-09 Parang Touraj President and COO -$33,281.82 Transaction at $8.62, now +2.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Serve Robotics Inc. Common Stock (SERV) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for SERV on Trend Edge →