FDX — FedEx Corporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates FDX Bullish with a Setup Score of 49, net conviction 38, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score49
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction38
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About FedEx Corporation

FedEx Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides transportation, e-commerce, and business services in the United States and internationally. It provides e-commerce and digital solutions; dataworks; printing and shipping management, including digital printing, professional finishing, document creation, design solutions, direct mail, signs and graphics, custom-branded boxes, copying, computer rental, Wi-Fi, corporate print solutions, shr… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$314.69
Market Cap$73.91B
Float222.6M
Shares Outstanding238.6M
P/E (Forward)14.04
P/E (TTM)16.70
Price/Sales (TTM)0.78
vs. Analyst Target+11.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin4.68%
Operating Margin (TTM)11.13%
Revenue (TTM)$94.72B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-4.60%
Dividend Rate4.9%
Analyst Target Price$349.72 (32 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $83.79B $5.23B $17.79B $11.26B
2022 $93.51B $3.83B $20.17B $9.55B
2023 $90.16B $3.97B $19.17B $10.23B
2024 $87.69B $4.33B $18.95B $10.87B
2025 $87.93B $4.09B $19.00B $10.49B
2026 $94.72B $4.43B $24.99B $10.16B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Aug 2025 $22.24B $824M
Nov 2025 $23.47B $956M
Feb 2026 $24.00B $1.06B
May 2026 $25.01B $1.60B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership7.5%
Institutional Ownership81.4%
Short Float2.2%
% of All Funds Holding22.89%
Number of Funds Holding1,881

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$319.90Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$304.55Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$270.58Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$253.49Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$316.84Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$278.37Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$271.39Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$384.00 resistance 1.13x 3 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (121 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.10% -0.08% 47.11% 13.29% -22.24%
1 Day 0.01% -0.02% 48.76% 15.53% -21.40%
1 Week 0.70% 0.80% 56.20% 24.59% -27.11%
2 Weeks 1.15% 0.95% 54.55% 21.54% -27.53%
1 Month 1.63% 0.88% 51.67% 29.15% -23.71%

Next earnings: September 11, 2026 (61 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.6%47.9%48
Feb1.5%54.2%48
Mar1.1%54.2%48
Apr-1.0%45.8%48
May0.3%55.1%49
Jun0.5%55.1%49
Jul2.7%60.4%48
Aug1.5%52.1%48
Sep0.7%52.1%48
Oct3.0%64.6%48
Nov4.3%70.8%48
Dec0.7%54.2%48

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.01% 46.9% 2299
Tuesday 0.08% 49.0% 2491
Wednesday 0.09% 48.1% 2491
Thursday 0.15% 50.6% 2445
Friday 0.04% 48.9% 2430

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 81.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 7.5%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings7
Net Value-$9.4M
Net Shares Change-7,794
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
ADAMS GINA F. EVP GENL COUNSEL/SECTY -$4.4M 1 1 sell
Brightman Tracy B EVP - Chief People Officer -$3.2M 1 1 sell
Carere Brie EVP/Chief Customer Officer -$999,067.77 1 1 sell
WALSH PAUL S -$941,391.82 1 1 sell
SCHWAB SUSAN C -$796,519.853 1 1 sell
Preet Kawal EVP - Plng, Eng, & Transfmtn -$776,740.16 1 1 sell
Ramo Joshua Cooper -$325,344.03 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-04-14 – 2026-04-16 5 5 -$10.2M 4 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-04-15 Brightman Tracy B EVP - Chief People Officer -$3.2M Transaction at $307.60, now +2.3%
2026-04-14 Carere Brie EVP/Chief Customer Officer -$999,067.77 Transaction at $370.03, now -15.0%
2026-04-14 ADAMS GINA F. EVP GENL COUNSEL/SECTY -$4.4M Transaction at $258.46, now +21.8%
2026-06-30 WALSH PAUL S -$941,391.82 Transaction at $231.20, now +36.1%
2026-04-14 Preet Kawal EVP - Plng, Eng, & Transfmtn -$776,740.16 Transaction at $288.63, now +9.0%
2026-04-16 SCHWAB SUSAN C -$796,519.853 Transaction at $300.28, now +4.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for FedEx Corporation (FDX) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for FDX on Trend Edge →