FDX — FedEx Corporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates FDX Bullish with a Setup Score of 36, net conviction 28, actionability 46. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score36
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction28
Actionability46 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About FedEx Corporation

FedEx Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides transportation, e-commerce, and business services in the United States and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Express U.S. Domestic and Express International. It provides e-commerce and digital solutions; dataworks; printing and shipping management, including digital printing, professional finishing, document creation, design solutions, direct mail, signs and gra… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$333.71
Market Cap$77.16B
Float218.7M
Shares Outstanding236.7M
P/E (Forward)16.03
P/E (TTM)17.70
Price/Sales (TTM)0.81
vs. Analyst Target+6.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin4.68%
Operating Margin (TTM)11.13%
Revenue (TTM)$94.72B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-4.30%
Dividend Rate4.9%
Analyst Target Price$356.37 (32 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $83.79B $5.23B $17.79B $11.26B
2022 $93.51B $3.83B $20.17B $9.55B
2023 $90.16B $3.97B $19.17B $10.23B
2024 $87.69B $4.33B $18.95B $10.87B
2025 $87.93B $4.09B $19.00B $10.49B
2026 $94.72B $4.43B $24.99B $10.16B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Aug 2025 $22.24B $824M
Nov 2025 $23.47B $956M
Feb 2026 $24.00B $1.06B
May 2026 $25.01B $1.60B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership6.2%
Institutional Ownership82.5%
Short Float2.3%
% of All Funds Holding21.91%
Number of Funds Holding1,927

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$319.36Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$316.83Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$275.14Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$259.31Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$324.10Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$280.62Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$273.86Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$384.00 resistance 1.13x 4 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (121 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.10% -0.08% 47.11% 13.29% -22.24%
1 Day 0.01% -0.02% 48.76% 15.53% -21.40%
1 Week 0.70% 0.80% 56.20% 24.59% -27.11%
2 Weeks 1.15% 0.95% 54.55% 21.54% -27.53%
1 Month 1.63% 0.88% 51.67% 29.15% -23.71%

Next earnings: October 12, 2026 (47 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.6%47.9%48
Feb1.5%54.2%48
Mar1.1%54.2%48
Apr-1.0%45.8%48
May0.3%55.1%49
Jun0.5%55.1%49
Jul2.6%59.2%49
Aug1.5%52.1%48
Sep0.7%52.1%48
Oct3.0%64.6%48
Nov4.3%70.8%48
Dec0.7%54.2%48

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.01% 46.9% 2306
Tuesday 0.08% 49.0% 2498
Wednesday 0.09% 48.0% 2498
Thursday 0.15% 50.6% 2452
Friday 0.04% 48.9% 2437

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 82.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 6.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings6
Net Value-$9.4M
Net Shares Change-7,794
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
ADAMS GINA F. EVP GENL COUNSEL/SECTY -$4.4M 1 1 sell
Brightman Tracy B EVP - Chief People Officer -$3.2M 1 1 sell
Carere Brie EVP/Chief Customer Officer -$999,067.77 1 1 sell
WALSH PAUL S -$941,391.82 1 1 sell
SCHWAB SUSAN C -$796,519.853 1 1 sell
Preet Kawal EVP - Plng, Eng, & Transfmtn -$776,740.16 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-04-14 – 2026-04-16 5 5 -$10.2M 4 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-30 WALSH PAUL S -$941,391.82 Transaction at $231.20, now +44.3%
2026-04-15 Brightman Tracy B EVP - Chief People Officer -$3.2M Transaction at $307.60, now +8.5%
2026-04-14 Carere Brie EVP/Chief Customer Officer -$999,067.77 Transaction at $370.03, now -9.8%
2026-04-14 ADAMS GINA F. EVP GENL COUNSEL/SECTY -$4.4M Transaction at $258.46, now +29.1%
2026-04-14 Preet Kawal EVP - Plng, Eng, & Transfmtn -$776,740.16 Transaction at $288.63, now +15.6%
2026-04-16 SCHWAB SUSAN C -$796,519.853 Transaction at $300.28, now +11.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for FedEx Corporation (FDX) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for FDX on Trend Edge →