RXO — RXO Inc.

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates RXO Bullish with a Setup Score of 26, net conviction 19, actionability 35. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score26
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction19
Actionability35 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About RXO Inc.

RXO, Inc. engages in truck brokerage business in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Asia, and Europe. It offers truckload freight brokering services. The company also provides asset-light managed transportation and last mile services, as well as freight forwarding services, including facilitation of ocean and air transportation, customs brokerage, and additional domestic services including middle mile. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$26.25
Market Cap$4.43B
Float125.4M
Shares Outstanding164.9M
P/E (Forward)2,500.00
Price/Sales (TTM)0.77
vs. Analyst Target-14.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-1.83%
Operating Margin (TTM)-1.33%
Revenue (TTM)$5.73B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-93.20%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$22.33 (21 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $3.36B $43.0M $539M $133M
2021 $4.69B $150M $735M $272M
2022 $4.80B $92.0M $860M $306M
2023 $3.93B $4.0M $725M $134M
2024 $4.55B -$290M $783M $117M
2025 $5.74B -$100M $1.01B $36.0M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.42B -$9.0M
Sep 2025 $1.42B -$14.0M
Dec 2025 $1.47B -$46.0M
Mar 2026 $1.43B -$36.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.8%
Institutional Ownership112.2%
Short Float10.9%
% of All Funds Holding3.04%
Number of Funds Holding250

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$25.10Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$17.52Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$17.57Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$18.81Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$18.48Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$20.73Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$20.10 support 1.40x 1 months ago
$30.40 resistance 1.28x 18 months ago
$31.90 resistance 1.01x 22 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (15 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.06% 0.09% 60.00% 1.89% -2.88%
1 Day -0.10% -0.89% 33.33% 11.09% -7.82%
1 Week -0.64% -0.55% 46.67% 31.41% -19.85%
2 Weeks 0.66% 1.88% 53.33% 17.40% -15.35%
1 Month 0.58% 0.16% 50.00% 27.02% -28.46%

Next earnings: August 6, 2026 (25 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.30% 51.4% 173
Tuesday 0.31% 52.9% 191
Wednesday 0.01% 49.7% 189
Thursday -0.01% 50.3% 183
Friday -0.15% 48.9% 186

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 112.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.8%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings6
Net Value-$236,356.51
Net Shares Change498,991
% of Float0.4%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
MFN Partners, LP +$6.4M 1 1 buy
Kerr Jason S. Chief Accounting Officer -$385,778.51 1 1 sell
Szlosek Thomas A +$251,209.96 1 1 buy
Wilkerson Andrew M. Chief Executive Officer +$149,422 1 2 buy
Kingshott Adrian +$100,512.5 1 1 buy
Cooper Troy A. +$88,243.37 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-10 – 2025-11-24 5 5 +$203,609.32 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-11-10 Wilkerson Andrew M. Chief Executive Officer +$149,422 Transaction at $12.84, now +104.4%
2026-02-17 MFN Partners, LP +$6.4M Transaction at $12.00, now +118.8%
2025-11-19 Kingshott Adrian +$100,512.5 Transaction at $10.75, now +144.2%
2025-11-12 Szlosek Thomas A +$251,209.96 Transaction at $12.37, now +112.2%
2025-11-24 Cooper Troy A. +$88,243.37 Transaction at $10.61, now +147.4%
2025-11-12 Kerr Jason S. Chief Accounting Officer -$385,778.51 Transaction at $11.57, now +126.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for RXO Inc. (RXO) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for RXO on Trend Edge →