XPO — XPO Logistics Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates XPO Bullish with a Setup Score of 44, net conviction 58, actionability 34. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score44
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction58
Actionability34 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About XPO Logistics Inc

XPO, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides freight transportation services in the United States, North America, France, the United Kingdom, and rest of Europe. The company operates in two segments, North American Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) and European Transportation. The North American LTL segment provides shippers with geographic density and day-definite domestic and cross-border services to the U.S., Mexico, Canada, and the Caribbean. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$192.46
Market Cap$23.05B
Float104.6M
Shares Outstanding117.1M
P/E (Forward)38.61
P/E (TTM)58.06
Price/Sales (TTM)2.69
vs. Analyst Target+20.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin4.71%
Operating Margin (TTM)12.31%
Revenue (TTM)$8.57B
Earnings Growth (YoY)52.80%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$232.74 (26 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $6.17B $110M $932M $522M
2021 $7.20B $336M $525M $703M
2022 $7.72B $666M $730M $785M
2023 $7.74B $189M $770M $860M
2024 $8.07B $387M $915M $1.19B
2025 $8.16B $316M $979M $1.18B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $2.11B $82.0M
Dec 2025 $2.01B $59.0M
Mar 2026 $2.10B $101M
Jun 2026 $2.35B $162M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.2%
Institutional Ownership103.7%
Short Float6.0%
% of All Funds Holding8.46%
Number of Funds Holding744

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$204.85Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$190.10Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$155.95Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$114.48Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$186.42Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$154.89Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$126.79Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$148.00 support 1.70x 5 months ago
$129.00 support 1.01x 9 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (91 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.26% 0.32% 53.85% 10.53% -16.27%
1 Day -0.37% 0.00% 47.25% 18.94% -24.29%
1 Week -0.54% -0.23% 45.05% 21.66% -25.71%
2 Weeks -0.60% -0.68% 48.35% 29.91% -23.73%
1 Month 1.03% 2.58% 55.56% 40.43% -34.33%

Next earnings: October 18, 2026 (52 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.9%47.8%23
Feb5.9%60.9%23
Mar-1.1%47.8%23
Apr3.9%47.8%23
May-0.3%56.5%23
Jun2.3%39.1%23
Jul4.6%47.8%23
Aug0.1%50.0%22
Sep0.3%50.0%22
Oct6.7%72.7%22
Nov4.5%60.9%23
Dec4.1%65.2%23

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.08% 46.4% 1079
Tuesday 0.19% 48.6% 1182
Wednesday 0.14% 46.0% 1183
Thursday 0.15% 47.2% 1158
Friday 0.14% 48.0% 1153

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 103.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings3
Net Value-$1.0M
Net Shares Change-10,650
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Brown Christopher Michael Chief Accounting Officer -$1.0M 1 1 sell
Landry Allison -$956,341.845 2 2 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-12 Brown Christopher Michael Chief Accounting Officer -$1.0M Transaction at $201.81, now -4.6%
2026-05-29 Landry Allison -$517,471.92 Transaction at $215.61, now -10.7%
2025-09-12 Landry Allison -$438,869.925 Transaction at $135.04, now +42.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for XPO Logistics Inc (XPO) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for XPO on Trend Edge →