ODFL — Old Dominion Freight Line Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Old Dominion Freight Line Inc

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. operates as a less-than-truckload motor carrier in the United States and North America. The company offers regional, inter-regional, and national less-than-truckload services, as well as expedited transportation services. It also provides various value-added services, including container drayage, truckload brokerage, and supply chain consulting. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$219.45
Market Cap$43.19B
Float186.0M
Shares Outstanding208.0M
P/E (Forward)40.98
P/E (TTM)43.45
Price/Sales (TTM)7.92
vs. Analyst Target-3.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin18.46%
Operating Margin (TTM)23.78%
Revenue (TTM)$5.46B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-4.20%
Dividend Rate1.2%
Analyst Target Price$212.64 (25 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $4.02B $673M $1.23B $1.17B
2021 $5.26B $1.03B $1.78B $1.65B
2022 $6.26B $1.38B $2.26B $2.12B
2023 $5.87B $1.24B $2.07B $1.97B
2024 $5.81B $1.19B $2.02B $1.90B
2025 $5.50B $1.02B $1.77B $1.73B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.41B $269M
Sep 2025 $1.41B $271M
Dec 2025 $1.31B $229M
Mar 2026 $1.33B $238M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership8.2%
Institutional Ownership82.7%
Short Float5.8%
% of All Funds Holding11.01%
Number of Funds Holding905

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$206.96Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$171.83Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$171.99Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$177.33Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$172.78Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$174.16Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$182.71Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$174.00 support 1.25x 2 months ago
$137.00 support 1.27x 4 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (122 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.23% 0.14% 56.56% 10.62% -8.51%
1 Day 0.73% 0.71% 61.48% 10.62% -5.53%
1 Week 1.46% 1.46% 58.20% 26.31% -19.66%
2 Weeks 2.05% 1.90% 63.93% 22.86% -17.33%
1 Month 2.78% 3.26% 61.98% 26.14% -22.52%

Next earnings: July 18, 2026 (50 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.3%60.0%35
Feb3.6%60.0%35
Mar1.8%54.3%35
Apr1.9%57.1%35
May0.8%50.0%34
Jun-0.2%35.3%34
Jul7.6%55.9%34
Aug-1.6%41.2%34
Sep-0.2%52.9%34
Oct1.7%58.8%34
Nov3.0%71.4%35
Dec1.4%54.3%35

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.09% 46.3% 1639
Tuesday 0.11% 46.2% 1789
Wednesday 0.05% 45.3% 1784
Thursday 0.25% 47.9% 1751
Friday 0.07% 46.6% 1743

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 82.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 8.2%

Founder-led management: Earl Congdon (Chairman Emeritus and Senior Advisor)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings7
Net Value-$16.4M
Net Shares Change-160,719
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
CONGDON DAVID S Executive Chairman -$10.1M 1 1 sell
Gantt Greg C -$6.6M 2 2 sell
CONGDON EARL E Chair Emeritus and Sr. Advisor -$6.2M 2 1 sell
Gabosch Bradley R -$608,842.18 1 1 sell
Kelley Christopher James SVP - Operations -$16,034.4 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-10 – 2026-02-23 3 3 -$13.1M 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-05 Gantt Greg C -$4.2M Transaction at $191.52, now +14.6%
2026-02-27 CONGDON EARL E Chair Emeritus and Sr. Advisor -$4.9M Transaction at $196.13, now +11.9%
2026-03-17 Kelley Christopher James SVP - Operations -$16,034.4 Transaction at $200.43, now +9.5%
2026-02-23 CONGDON DAVID S Executive Chairman -$10.1M Transaction at $194.77, now +12.7%
2026-02-19 Gabosch Bradley R -$608,842.18 Transaction at $194.27, now +13.0%
2026-02-10 Gantt Greg C -$2.4M Transaction at $196.43, now +11.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Old Dominion Freight Line Inc (ODFL) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ODFL on Trend Edge →