Short Squeeze Setup — velZ +2.04 · age 26w×1.00 · 4.69%
Seasonal Tailwind — october med 2% (mag 1/3) · posClose 58.82% (rel 1/3) · n34 ×0.75 = 3.8
Founder-Led — founder/CEO led
About Old Dominion Freight Line Inc
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. operates as a less-than-truckload motor carrier in the United States and North America. The company offers regional, inter-regional, and national less-than-truckload services, as well as expedited transportation services. It also provides various value-added services, including container drayage, truckload brokerage, and supply chain consulting. Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Trucking
Exchange: NASDAQ
IPO Date: October 24, 1991
Headquarters: 500 Old Dominion Way, Thomasville, NC, United States, 27360
Founder-Led: Yes — Earl Congdon (Chairman Emeritus and Senior Advisor)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$199.43
Market Cap
$42.53B
Float
185.7M
Shares Outstanding
208.0M
P/E (Forward)
36.63
P/E (TTM)
39.41
Price/Sales (TTM)
7.59
vs. Analyst Target
+16.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
19.44%
Operating Margin (TTM)
28.84%
Revenue (TTM)
$5.60B
Earnings Growth (YoY)
32.30%
Dividend Rate
1.2%
Analyst Target Price
$232.14 (25 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$4.02B
$673M
$1.23B
$1.17B
2021
$5.26B
$1.03B
$1.78B
$1.65B
2022
$6.26B
$1.38B
$2.26B
$2.12B
2023
$5.87B
$1.24B
$2.07B
$1.97B
2024
$5.81B
$1.19B
$2.02B
$1.90B
2025
$5.50B
$1.02B
$1.77B
$1.73B
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Sep 2025
$1.41B
$271M
Dec 2025
$1.31B
$229M
Mar 2026
$1.33B
$238M
Jun 2026
$1.55B
$351M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
8.2%
Institutional Ownership
81.1%
Short Float
4.2%
% of All Funds Holding
11.52%
Number of Funds Holding
1,013
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$217.63
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$198.55
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$176.41
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$182.93
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$192.95
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$175.71
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$186.05
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$174.00
support
1.25x
5 months ago
$137.00
support
1.27x
7 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (123 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
0.23%
0.14%
56.91%
10.62%
-8.51%
1 Day
0.68%
0.70%
60.98%
10.62%
-5.53%
1 Week
1.40%
1.44%
57.72%
26.31%
-19.66%
2 Weeks
2.01%
1.87%
63.41%
22.86%
-17.33%
1 Month
2.83%
3.31%
62.30%
26.14%
-22.52%
Next earnings: October 17, 2026 (51 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
2.3%
60.0%
35
Feb
3.6%
60.0%
35
Mar
1.8%
54.3%
35
Apr
1.9%
57.1%
35
May
0.9%
51.4%
35
Jun
-0.3%
34.3%
35
Jul
7.3%
54.3%
35
Aug
-1.6%
41.2%
34
Sep
-0.2%
52.9%
34
Oct
1.7%
58.8%
34
Nov
3.0%
71.4%
35
Dec
1.4%
54.3%
35
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
0.08%
46.2%
1652
Tuesday
0.11%
46.1%
1801
Wednesday
0.05%
45.3%
1797
Thursday
0.26%
48.0%
1764
Friday
0.07%
46.6%
1754
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 81.1%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 8.2%
Founder-led management: Earl Congdon (Chairman Emeritus and Senior Advisor)
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The analysis covers five layers:
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