RSKD — Riskified Ltd

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates RSKD Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 50, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction50
Actionability0 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Riskified Ltd

Riskified Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops and offers an e-commerce risk intelligent platform that allows online merchants to create trusted relationships with consumers in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia-Pacific, and the Americas. It offers Chargeback Guarantee that ensures the legitimacy of merchants' online orders; Dispute Resolve, which is used to compile submissions for fraud and non-fraud related c… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$5.95
Market Cap$786M
Float54.1M
Shares Outstanding91.8M
P/E (Forward)99.01
Price/Sales (TTM)2.13
vs. Analyst Target+12.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-4.23%
Operating Margin (TTM)-7.51%
Revenue (TTM)$368M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$6.70 (9 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $170M -$11.3M $92.8M -$5.4M
2021 $229M -$179M $123M -$176M
2022 $261M -$105M $135M -$95.1M
2023 $298M -$59.0M $153M -$48.1M
2024 $328M -$34.9M $171M -$23.6M
2025 $345M -$27.6M $176M -$5.6M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $81.9M -$7.8M
Dec 2025 $99.3M $5.8M
Mar 2026 $88.3M -$4.4M
Jun 2026 $98.7M -$9.1M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership12.1%
Institutional Ownership62.5%
Short Float1.9%
% of All Funds Holding1.25%
Number of Funds Holding110

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$5.45Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$4.80Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$4.81Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$4.91Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$4.82Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$4.85Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$4.91Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$5.30 support 1.84x 0 months ago
$4.00 support 1.04x 3 months ago
$6.20 resistance 1.44x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (21 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.45% -0.56% 47.62% 12.02% -2.93%
1 Day -1.12% 0.62% 52.38% 8.02% -9.55%
1 Week -4.37% -4.66% 33.33% 4.81% -20.70%
2 Weeks -4.70% -4.18% 30.00% 9.13% -31.24%
1 Month -7.91% -5.61% 25.00% 6.43% -43.97%

Next earnings: October 31, 2026 (66 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.16% 52.3% 237
Tuesday 0.09% 47.5% 263
Wednesday -0.12% 46.0% 261
Thursday -0.02% 48.0% 254
Friday -0.37% 44.1% 256

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 62.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 12.1%

Founder-led management: Eido Gal (Co-Founder, CEO & Chairman), Assaf Feldman (Co-Founder, CTO & Director)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings38
Net Value-$9.3M
Net Shares Change-5,187,713
% of Float-9.6%
C-Suite Filings15
Clusters Detected3

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Shachar Erez -$6.4M 8 8 sell
Feldman Assaf Chief Strategy Officer - Tech -$4.1M 1 N/A
Dotcheva Aglika Chief Financial Officer -$1.6M 1 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-06-22 – 2026-07-06 10 4 -$13.0M 5 C-suite
2026-07-08 – 2026-07-22 9 4 -$4.5M 3 C-suite
2026-08-14 – 2026-08-21 5 4 -$8.8M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-10 Shachar Erez -$1.2M Transaction at $4.89, now +21.7%
2026-06-12 Shachar Erez -$937,188.824 Transaction at $4.90, now +21.4%
2026-06-16 Shachar Erez -$1.1M Transaction at $4.96, now +19.9%
2026-06-03 Shachar Erez -$1.0M Transaction at $4.97, now +19.7%
2026-06-01 Shachar Erez -$1.0M Transaction at $4.82, now +23.4%
2026-06-05 Shachar Erez -$228,602.481 Transaction at $4.90, now +21.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Riskified Ltd (RSKD) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for RSKD on Trend Edge →