RPD — Rapid7 Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates RPD Bearish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 40, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction40
Actionability0 (no mans land)

Key signals behind this score

About Rapid7 Inc

Rapid7, Inc. provides cybersecurity software and services under the Rapid7, Nexpose, and Metasploit brand names. It offers Rapid7 Agent, a software-based agent that is used on assets across on-premises and cloud environments to centralize and monitor data on company's platform; Rapid7 Network Sensor that analyzes raw end-to-end network traffic to increase visibility into user activity, pinpoint real threats, and investigations; Rapid7 Cloud Event… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$12.49
Market Cap$813M
Float59.3M
Shares Outstanding67.4M
P/E (Forward)7.15
P/E (TTM)38.90
Price/Sales (TTM)0.95
vs. Analyst Target-6.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin2.35%
Operating Margin (TTM)2.27%
Revenue (TTM)$856M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-30.40%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$11.71 (25 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $411M -$98.8M $290M -$50.1M
2021 $535M -$146M $366M -$88.1M
2022 $685M -$125M $471M -$70.3M
2023 $778M -$149M $546M -$80.7M
2024 $844M $25.5M $593M $97.3M
2025 $860M $23.4M $605M $86.1M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $218M $9.8M
Dec 2025 $217M $3.1M
Mar 2026 $210M $1.1M
Jun 2026 $211M $6.1M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership4.2%
Institutional Ownership108.0%
Short Float12.2%
% of All Funds Holding2.68%
Number of Funds Holding236

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$11.93Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$9.13Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$14.65Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$32.18Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$9.38Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$15.00Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$29.86Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$10.00 support 1.12x 1 months ago
$6.10 support 1.44x 4 months ago
$15.20 resistance 1.03x 8 months ago
$18.50 resistance 1.42x 10 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (45 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.37% 0.23% 53.33% 15.58% -23.68%
1 Day -0.99% -0.60% 46.67% 15.61% -28.97%
1 Week -0.99% 0.11% 51.11% 27.25% -31.76%
2 Weeks -1.09% 1.69% 53.33% 37.58% -38.50%
1 Month -0.23% 0.65% 50.00% 29.22% -39.36%

Next earnings: November 3, 2026 (25 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.7%45.5%11
Feb-2.4%63.6%11
Mar-3.3%18.2%11
Apr1.8%63.6%11
May2.0%54.5%11
Jun1.2%45.5%11
Jul3.7%54.5%11
Aug8.8%58.3%12
Sep-5.7%25.0%12
Oct0.5%63.6%11
Nov-3.9%45.5%11
Dec1.6%36.4%11

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.03% 53.4% 528
Tuesday -0.01% 50.4% 581
Wednesday 0.12% 50.9% 578
Thursday -0.01% 49.3% 568
Friday 0.01% 49.9% 565

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 108.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 4.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings11
Net Value+$142,272.08
Net Shares Change282,291
% of Float0.5%
C-Suite Filings6
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
JANA Partners Management, LP +$3.5M 2 2 buy
Thomas Corey E. CEO +$200,390 1 1 buy
Schodorf Thomas E +$98,910 1 1 buy
Brown Marc Evan +$45,630 1 1 buy
Murphy Scott M Chief Accounting Officer -$42,341.32 4 N/A
BURNS MIKE +$27,600 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-24 – 2025-12-04 7 6 +$3.9M 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-11-24 Thomas Corey E. CEO +$200,390 Transaction at $13.82, now -9.6%
2025-11-26 Schodorf Thomas E +$98,910 Transaction at $15.70, now -20.4%
2025-11-24 BURNS MIKE +$27,600 Transaction at $13.80, now -9.5%
2025-11-25 Brown Marc Evan +$45,630 Transaction at $15.21, now -17.9%
2025-11-25 JANA Partners Management, LP +$2.9M Transaction at $14.35, now -13.0%
2025-12-04 JANA Partners Management, LP +$652,671.95 Transaction at $15.71, now -20.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Rapid7 Inc (RPD) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for RPD on Trend Edge →