RPD — Rapid7 Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Rapid7 Inc

Rapid7, Inc. provides cybersecurity software and services under the Rapid7, Nexpose, and Metasploit brand names. It offers Rapid7 Agent, a software-based agent that is used on assets across on-premises and cloud environments to centralize and monitor data on company's platform; Rapid7 Network Sensor that analyzes raw end-to-end network traffic to increase visibility into user activity, pinpoint real threats, and investigations; Rapid7 Cloud Event… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$7.27
Market Cap$483M
Float58.8M
Shares Outstanding66.8M
P/E (Forward)4.54
P/E (TTM)20.66
Price/Sales (TTM)0.56
vs. Analyst Target-0.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin2.61%
Operating Margin (TTM)0.02%
Revenue (TTM)$859M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-43.10%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$7.25 (25 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $411M -$98.8M $290M -$50.1M
2021 $535M -$146M $366M -$88.1M
2022 $685M -$125M $471M -$70.3M
2023 $778M -$149M $546M -$80.7M
2024 $844M $25.5M $593M $97.3M
2025 $860M $23.4M $605M $86.1M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $214M $8.3M
Sep 2025 $218M $9.8M
Dec 2025 $217M $3.1M
Mar 2026 $210M $1.1M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.7%
Institutional Ownership97.0%
Short Float13.0%
% of All Funds Holding2.74%
Number of Funds Holding225

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$6.07Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$12.65Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$21.18Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$35.76Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$12.57Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$21.69Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$34.31Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$6.10 support 1.16x 0 months ago
$11.70 resistance 1.80x 2 months ago
$15.20 resistance 1.03x 3 months ago
$18.50 resistance 1.42x 5 months ago
$26.10 resistance 1.28x 12 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (44 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.62% 0.17% 52.27% 15.58% -23.68%
1 Day -1.36% -0.69% 45.45% 15.61% -28.97%
1 Week -1.21% 0.00% 50.00% 27.25% -31.76%
2 Weeks -1.22% 1.06% 52.27% 37.58% -38.50%
1 Month -0.47% -0.29% 48.84% 29.22% -39.36%

Next earnings: August 6, 2026 (71 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.7%45.5%11
Feb-2.4%63.6%11
Mar-3.3%18.2%11
Apr1.8%63.6%11
May-2.0%50.0%10
Jun1.6%50.0%10
Jul2.1%50.0%10
Aug6.0%54.5%11
Sep-5.4%27.3%11
Oct0.5%63.6%11
Nov-3.9%45.5%11
Dec1.6%36.4%11

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.08% 52.5% 510
Tuesday -0.03% 50.6% 561
Wednesday 0.15% 51.1% 558
Thursday -0.04% 49.8% 548
Friday 0.01% 49.9% 547

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 97.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.7%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings14
Net Value-$1,735.11
Net Shares Change1,047,654
% of Float1.8%
C-Suite Filings8
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
JANA Partners Management, LP +$18.7M 3 3 buy
Thomas Corey E. CEO +$200,390 1 1 buy
Murphy Scott M Chief Accounting Officer -$129,764.31 3 N/A
Schodorf Thomas E +$98,910 1 1 buy
Brown Marc Evan +$45,630 1 1 buy
BURNS MIKE +$27,600 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-24 – 2025-12-04 7 6 +$3.9M 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-12-04 JANA Partners Management, LP +$652,671.95 Transaction at $15.71, now -53.7%
2025-11-24 Thomas Corey E. CEO +$200,390 Transaction at $13.82, now -47.4%
2025-08-13 JANA Partners Management, LP +$15.1M Transaction at $19.60, now -62.9%
2025-11-26 Schodorf Thomas E +$98,910 Transaction at $15.70, now -53.7%
2025-11-24 BURNS MIKE +$27,600 Transaction at $13.80, now -47.3%
2025-11-25 Brown Marc Evan +$45,630 Transaction at $15.21, now -52.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Rapid7 Inc (RPD) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for RPD on Trend Edge →