RMR — RMR Group Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates RMR Bearish with a Setup Score of 29, net conviction 22, actionability 38. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score29
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction22
Actionability38 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About RMR Group Inc

The RMR Group Inc., through its subsidiary, The RMR Group LLC, provides real estate asset management services in the United States. The company offers management services to its four publicly traded real estate investment trusts, two real estate operating companies, and private capital vehicles. It also provides advisory services to publicly traded mortgage real estate investment trust. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$20.49
Market Cap$345M
Float14.3M
Shares Outstanding16.1M
P/E (Forward)19.42
P/E (TTM)16.68
Price/Sales (TTM)1.57
vs. Analyst Target+1.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin9.49%
Operating Margin (TTM)18.16%
Revenue (TTM)$219M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-76.20%
Dividend Rate1.8%
Analyst Target Price$20.75 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $590M $28.8M $229M $73.2M
2021 $607M $35.7M $237M $78.6M
2022 $833M $34.0M $264M $91.7M
2023 $962M $57.1M $306M $151M
2024 $898M $23.1M $288M $69.9M
2025 $700M $17.6M $539M $61.3M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $155M $4.2M
Sep 2025 $159M $3.4M
Dec 2025 $180M $12.2M
Mar 2026 $146M $1.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership4.1%
Institutional Ownership80.3%
Short Float7.5%
% of All Funds Holding1.87%
Number of Funds Holding154

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$20.35Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$17.06Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$16.95Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$21.69Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$17.14Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$17.02Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$20.61Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$18.00 support 1.11x 1 months ago
$15.20 support 1.42x 4 months ago
$20.70 resistance 1.48x 17 months ago
$22.20 resistance 1.13x 18 months ago
$24.10 resistance 1.10x 19 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (42 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.10% -0.06% 42.86% 4.65% -3.86%
1 Day -0.06% -0.32% 38.10% 13.22% -9.16%
1 Week -0.14% -0.39% 45.24% 12.93% -13.22%
2 Weeks 0.11% -0.66% 47.62% 19.61% -15.47%
1 Month 1.74% 3.33% 53.66% 28.37% -28.83%

Next earnings: August 4, 2026 (22 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan7.5%63.6%11
Feb-0.5%45.5%11
Mar-3.7%36.4%11
Apr-0.5%36.4%11
May0.1%45.5%11
Jun2.0%54.5%11
Jul4.2%80.0%10
Aug3.9%60.0%10
Sep-5.6%0.0%10
Oct-1.8%40.0%10
Nov5.3%50.0%10
Dec-1.0%30.0%10

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.04% 47.9% 495
Tuesday 0.05% 48.3% 547
Wednesday -0.03% 48.2% 544
Thursday 0.12% 50.7% 535
Friday 0.12% 48.6% 531

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 80.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 4.1%

Founder-led management: Adam Portnoy (President and Chief Executive Officer, Managing Director)

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for RMR Group Inc (RMR) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for RMR on Trend Edge →