RLJ — RLJ Lodging Trust

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates RLJ Bullish with a Setup Score of 44, net conviction 54, actionability 36. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score44
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction54
Actionability36 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About RLJ Lodging Trust

RLJ Lodging Trust is a self-advised, publicly traded real estate investment trust that owns 91 premium-branded, rooms-oriented, high-margin, focused-service and compact full-service hotels located within the heart of demand locations. We own a geographically diversified portfolio of hotels located in urban markets that exhibit multiple demand generators and attractive long-term growth prospects. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$11.46
Market Cap$1.76B
Float121.6M
Shares Outstanding152.4M
P/E (Forward)2,500.00
P/E (TTM)1,148.00
Price/Sales (TTM)1.27
vs. Analyst Target-0.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin2.00%
Operating Margin (TTM)14.52%
Revenue (TTM)$1.38B
Earnings Growth (YoY)9.40%
Dividend Rate0.6%
Analyst Target Price$11.45 (10 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $465M -$404M -$30.2M -$73.8M
2021 $786M -$305M $185M -$20.0M
2022 $1.19B $41.9M $362M $319M
2023 $1.33B $76.4M $391M $355M
2024 $1.37B $68.0M $384M $359M
2025 $1.35B $28.5M -$11.7M $318M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $330M -$3.7M
Dec 2025 $329M $430,000
Mar 2026 $340M -$349,000
Jun 2026 $383M $31.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership13.2%
Institutional Ownership97.1%
Short Float9.4%
% of All Funds Holding2.51%
Number of Funds Holding221

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$11.69Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$9.14Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$8.34Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$9.61Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$9.14Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$8.45Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$9.37Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$8.30 support 1.37x 2 months ago
$7.30 support 1.09x 3 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (62 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.24% 0.05% 53.23% 7.71% -8.22%
1 Day 0.31% 0.00% 46.77% 9.71% -6.63%
1 Week 1.28% 0.49% 53.23% 25.38% -14.08%
2 Weeks 0.81% 0.43% 51.61% 44.12% -48.62%
1 Month 2.59% 1.70% 57.38% 57.86% -43.24%

Next earnings: October 25, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.5%46.7%15
Feb-0.0%53.3%15
Mar-3.5%40.0%15
Apr0.3%46.7%15
May1.0%53.3%15
Jun-0.7%31.3%16
Jul0.9%56.3%16
Aug-1.8%40.0%15
Sep-2.5%40.0%15
Oct0.4%26.7%15
Nov7.3%73.3%15
Dec1.0%66.7%15

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.00% 51.0% 720
Tuesday 0.11% 50.5% 790
Wednesday -0.02% 49.6% 787
Thursday -0.06% 48.6% 774
Friday 0.06% 50.0% 772

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 97.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 13.2%

Founder-led management: Robert L. Johnson (Founder and Chairman)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change-13,413
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Zeigler Robin McBride -$100,731.63 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-11-25 Zeigler Robin McBride -$100,731.63 Transaction at $7.51, now +52.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for RLJ on Trend Edge →