AHT — Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc

Ashford Hospitality Trust, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, is a real estate investment trust. While our portfolio currently consists of upscale hotels and upper upscale full-service hotels, our investment strategy is predominantly focused on investing in upper upscale full-service hotels in the United States that have revenue per available room generally less than twice the U.S. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$2.90
Market Cap$19.4M
Float6.0M
Shares Outstanding6.5M
P/E (Forward)1.69
Price/Sales (TTM)0.02
vs. Analyst Target+72.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-20.43%
Operating Margin (TTM)6.75%
Revenue (TTM)$1.09B
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$5.00 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $508M -$544M -$56.2M -$134M
2021 $805M -$267M $108M $110M
2022 $1.24B -$140M $288M $294M
2023 $1.37B -$178M $323M $374M
2024 $1.17B -$60.3M $234M $408M
2025 $1.10B -$180M -$6.3M $248M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $302M -$30.4M
Sep 2025 $266M -$60.1M
Dec 2025 $259M -$69.3M
Mar 2026 $268M -$63.8M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.2%
Institutional Ownership15.9%
Short Float0.0%
% of All Funds Holding0.33%
Number of Funds Holding27

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$2.91Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$3.99Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$5.56Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$22.38Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$3.99Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$5.51Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$14.26Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$4.70 resistance 1.64x 5 months ago
$5.80 resistance 1.26x 6 months ago
$8.70 resistance 1.28x 16 months ago
$19.10 resistance 1.16x 25 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (91 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.35% 0.00% 48.35% 10.91% -7.85%
1 Day -0.05% 0.29% 50.55% 19.05% -27.14%
1 Week -0.23% -0.91% 43.96% 41.16% -25.81%
2 Weeks 0.50% -1.08% 41.11% 106.12% -51.21%
1 Month 3.15% 1.46% 55.56% 80.27% -35.75%

Next earnings: July 30, 2026 (64 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan4.4%56.5%23
Feb-1.5%60.9%23
Mar-1.9%47.8%23
Apr2.8%52.2%23
May2.6%54.5%22
Jun-4.4%40.9%22
Jul-2.2%54.5%22
Aug-3.6%40.9%22
Sep-6.1%30.4%23
Oct-1.9%52.2%23
Nov2.1%52.2%23
Dec-3.0%43.5%23

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.19% 44.2% 1071
Tuesday -0.16% 45.5% 1175
Wednesday -0.01% 48.9% 1176
Thursday -0.06% 46.2% 1151
Friday 0.02% 47.8% 1148

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 15.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.2%

Founder-led management: Monty Bennett (Chairman of the Board)

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc (AHT) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AHT on Trend Edge →