BHR — Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates BHR Bearish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 42, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction42
Actionability0 (extended)

Key signals behind this score

About Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc

Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc. is a real estate investment trust focused on the high-growth luxury hotel and resort sector. The Company targets high-performance luxury urban and resort properties, specializing in assets that generate revenue per available room at least twice the U.S. national average. Its industry-leading portfolio features luxury properties across the United States and the U.S. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$1.21
Market Cap$109M
Float52.4M
Shares Outstanding68.7M
P/E (Forward)20.58
Price/Sales (TTM)0.16
vs. Analyst Target+106.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-0.45%
Operating Margin (TTM)7.73%
Revenue (TTM)$689M
Earnings Growth (YoY)7.10%
Dividend Rate0.2%
Analyst Target Price$2.50 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $227M -$105M $8.5M -$9.8M
2021 $428M -$26.7M $82.9M $73.6M
2022 $670M $17.8M $164M $154M
2023 $739M -$27.0M $168M $160M
2024 $728M -$1.7M $154M $228M
2025 $704M -$22.3M -$8.0M $165M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $144M $5.7M
Dec 2025 $166M -$33.6M
Mar 2026 $209M $17.7M
Jun 2026 $171M $11.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership16.4%
Institutional Ownership56.3%
Short Float3.3%
% of All Funds Holding1.47%
Number of Funds Holding129

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$1.83Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$2.34Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$2.41Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$2.86Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$2.21Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$2.35Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$2.57Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$2.00 resistance 1.12x 0 months ago
$2.40 resistance 1.91x 3 months ago
$2.80 resistance 1.11x 6 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (51 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.09% -0.11% 37.25% 8.33% -4.85%
1 Day -0.61% -0.31% 47.06% 9.09% -22.76%
1 Week 0.80% -0.57% 47.06% 32.23% -29.78%
2 Weeks 2.01% -0.68% 45.10% 127.69% -28.65%
1 Month 2.10% -1.32% 49.02% 85.33% -24.24%

Next earnings: November 4, 2026 (24 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-1.3%30.8%13
Feb3.7%46.2%13
Mar-11.4%30.8%13
Apr8.8%53.8%13
May0.5%61.5%13
Jun-1.5%46.2%13
Jul0.6%46.2%13
Aug-3.0%30.8%13
Sep-3.3%38.5%13
Oct-0.1%41.7%12
Nov2.3%41.7%12
Dec2.8%61.5%13

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.00% 45.6% 609
Tuesday 0.08% 45.9% 669
Wednesday -0.13% 46.8% 664
Thursday -0.08% 44.9% 653
Friday 0.11% 49.4% 650

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 56.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 16.4%

Founder-led management: Monty J. Bennett (Founder & Chairman of the Board)

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Braemar Hotel & Resorts Inc (BHR) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for BHR on Trend Edge →