RFL — Rafael Holdings, Inc.

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Rafael Holdings, Inc.

Rafael Holdings, Inc. primarily engages in holding interests in clinical and early-stage pharmaceutical companies, and medical devices in the United States and Israel. It operates in three segments, Healthcare, Infusion Technology, and Real Estate. The company engages in the development and commercialization of therapies that exploit the metabolic differences between normal cells and cancer cells. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$1.37
Market Cap$71.3M
Float31.2M
Shares Outstanding51.2M
Price/Sales (TTM)61.27
Operating Margin (TTM)-3154.03%
Revenue (TTM)$1.2M
Dividend RateNone

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $4.9M -$10.4M $4.9M -$5.0M
2021 $802,000 -$24.5M $802,000 -$23.3M
2022 $410,000 -$125M $410,000 -$140M
2023 $279,000 -$1.9M $279,000 -$8.7M
2024 $637,000 -$34.4M $483,000 -$66.8M
2025 $917,000 -$30.5M $495,000 -$32.3M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Apr 2025 $362,000 -$4.8M
Jul 2025 $350,000 -$12.1M
Oct 2025 $240,000 -$9.8M
Jan 2026 $211,000 -$6.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership37.9%
Institutional Ownership7.3%
Short Float0.1%
% of All Funds Holding0.40%
Number of Funds Holding33

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$1.27Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$1.29Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$1.55Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$1.72Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$1.29Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$1.52Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$1.65Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$1.80 resistance 2.04x 12 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (32 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.20% 0.08% 53.13% 5.47% -7.02%
1 Day -0.20% 0.60% 53.13% 18.22% -27.72%
1 Week -1.94% -1.12% 28.13% 28.79% -44.91%
2 Weeks -4.92% -3.82% 40.63% 45.82% -75.68%
1 Month -1.49% -2.47% 43.75% 44.24% -80.51%

Next earnings: June 10, 2026 (12 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan15.3%62.5%8
Feb4.0%50.0%8
Mar-12.2%12.5%8
Apr12.3%66.7%9
May4.4%50.0%8
Jun9.1%50.0%8
Jul-3.5%25.0%8
Aug1.2%50.0%8
Sep-6.1%25.0%8
Oct-12.8%12.5%8
Nov0.2%50.0%8
Dec-1.4%37.5%8

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.03% 45.7% 385
Tuesday 0.13% 41.1% 423
Wednesday -0.11% 46.8% 419
Thursday -0.05% 46.4% 412
Friday 0.34% 45.9% 412

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 7.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 37.9%

Founder-led management: Howard Jonas (Chief Executive Officer, President, Founder & Executive Chairman)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value+$16.7M
Net Shares Change13,080,457
% of Float41.9%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
JONAS HOWARD S Exec Chairman, CEO and President +$16.7M 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-06-09 JONAS HOWARD S Exec Chairman, CEO and President +$16.7M Transaction at $1.28, now +7.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Rafael Holdings, Inc. (RFL) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for RFL on Trend Edge →