RDW — Redwire Corp

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Redwire Corp

Redwire Corporation provides critical space solutions and space infrastructure for government and commercial customers in the United States, Europe, and internationally. It operates in two segments Space and Defense Tech. The company offers sensors and avionics systems, including star trackers and sun sensors, which are critical for accurate navigation and control of spacecraft; camera systems; infrared, space situational awareness, and position … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$14.06
Market Cap$2.71B
Float195.2M
Shares Outstanding198.9M
Price/Sales (TTM)7.29
vs. Analyst Target+1.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-80.90%
Operating Margin (TTM)-71.84%
Revenue (TTM)$371M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$14.33 (6 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $57.4M -$39,657 $12.1M -$39,657
2021 $138M -$61.5M $29.4M -$33.0M
2022 $161M -$131M $28.7M -$35.3M
2023 $244M -$27.3M $58.0M -$4.8M
2024 $304M -$114M $44.5M -$21.4M
2025 $335M -$227M $17.3M -$179M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $61.8M -$97.0M
Sep 2025 $103M -$41.2M
Dec 2025 $109M -$85.5M
Mar 2026 $97.0M -$76.5M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.5%
Institutional Ownership44.4%
Short Float14.1%
% of All Funds Holding2.92%
Number of Funds Holding240

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$10.05Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$8.89Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$11.67Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$6.90Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$9.14Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$11.57Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$7.79Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$9.30 support 1.26x 0 months ago
$8.00 support 3.99x 3 months ago
$5.40 support 2.54x 4 months ago
$22.40 resistance 2.32x 14 months ago
$5.30 support 2.50x 22 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (20 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -2.99% -0.75% 40.00% 6.76% -19.78%
1 Day -4.80% -0.74% 35.00% 10.23% -30.88%
1 Week 1.00% 1.21% 50.00% 40.00% -33.65%
2 Weeks 2.23% 2.93% 55.00% 60.02% -36.50%
1 Month 2.25% 0.62% 50.00% 43.85% -40.44%

Next earnings: May 11, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.09% 48.0% 248
Tuesday 0.12% 41.7% 276
Wednesday 0.13% 44.5% 274
Thursday 0.13% 47.2% 267
Friday 0.34% 52.6% 270

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 44.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.5%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings27
Net Value+$441,026.09
Net Shares Change-85,293,017
% of Float-43.7%
C-Suite Filings7
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
AE RED HOLDINGS, LLC -$461M 9 9 sell
Futch Aaron Michael EVP, GC and Secretary +$100,336.865 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-10 – 2025-11-14 5 3 +$405,000.84 5 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-04-24 AE RED HOLDINGS, LLC -$232M Transaction at $10.85, now +29.6%
2026-04-22 AE RED HOLDINGS, LLC -$28.4M Transaction at $10.35, now +35.8%
2026-04-20 AE RED HOLDINGS, LLC -$55.2M Transaction at $10.65, now +32.0%
2026-03-26 AE RED HOLDINGS, LLC -$92.3M Transaction at $9.22, now +52.4%
2026-04-16 AE RED HOLDINGS, LLC -$18.6M Transaction at $9.84, now +42.9%
2026-04-14 AE RED HOLDINGS, LLC -$13.1M Transaction at $9.58, now +46.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Redwire Corp (RDW) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for RDW on Trend Edge →