RBRK — Rubrik, Inc.

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates RBRK Bullish with a Setup Score of 24, net conviction 27, actionability 22. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score24
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction27
Actionability22 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Rubrik, Inc.

Rubrik, Inc. provides data security solutions to individuals and businesses worldwide. The company offers enterprise data protection, unstructured data protection, cloud data protection, SaaS data protection solutions, and identity provider services protection; data threat analytics; data security posture; identity recovery and resilience services; and cyber recovery solutions. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$84.38
Market Cap$18.27B
Float157.2M
Shares Outstanding161.0M
P/E (Forward)500.00
Price/Sales (TTM)12.82
vs. Analyst Target+11.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-20.25%
Operating Margin (TTM)-13.60%
Revenue (TTM)$1.42B
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$94.35 (29 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $388M -$213M $217M -$126M
2022 $506M -$254M $270M -$145M
2023 $600M -$278M $320M -$154M
2024 $628M -$354M $390M -$196M
2025 $887M -$1.15B $621M -$1.08B
2026 $1.32B -$349M $1.05B -$162M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jul 2025 $310M -$95.9M
Oct 2025 $350M -$63.8M
Jan 2026 $378M -$87.0M
Apr 2026 $387M -$41.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.4%
Institutional Ownership76.6%
Short Float9.1%
% of All Funds Holding5.28%
Number of Funds Holding434

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$72.35Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$66.09Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$71.95Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$67.44Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$73.06Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$0.00Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Volume shelf data not available.

Historical Earnings Reactions (9 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 7.45% 3.72% 66.67% 23.58% -6.89%
1 Day 3.35% -1.50% 33.33% 27.79% -18.05%
1 Week 1.78% 0.56% 55.56% 34.51% -24.98%
2 Weeks 0.07% -3.22% 44.44% 23.22% -19.68%
1 Month 3.82% 4.82% 62.50% 20.74% -16.41%

Next earnings: September 8, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.87% 59.4% 106
Tuesday -0.07% 48.2% 114
Wednesday 0.23% 55.0% 111
Thursday -0.30% 48.6% 107
Friday 0.47% 53.6% 110

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 76.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.4%

Founder-led management: Bipul Sinha (Co-Founder, CEO & Chairman), Arvind Nithrakashyap (Co-Founder, CTO & Director), Arvind Jain (Co-Founder)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings51
Net Value-$95.8M
Net Shares Change-97,996
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings32
Clusters Detected10

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Sinha Bipul Chairman of the Board and CEO -$46.6M 1 1 sell
Nithrakashyap Arvind Chief Technology Officer -$25.6M 4 3 sell
Choudary Kiran Kumar Chief Financial Officer -$5.9M 1 1 sell
Mhatre Ravi -$736,989.253 2 2 sell
MCLAUGHLIN MARK D +$502,219.98 1 1 buy
McCarthy Brian K. Pres.,Global Sales & Field Ops -$365,455.128 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-07-24 – 2025-08-07 4 3 -$2.5M 3 C-suite
2025-08-21 – 2025-09-04 4 3 -$2.5M 3 C-suite
2025-09-12 – 2025-09-18 4 4 -$50.7M 4 C-suite
2025-10-02 – 2025-10-16 4 3 -$2.1M 3 C-suite
2025-11-04 – 2025-11-12 3 3 -$1.7M 2 C-suite
2025-12-10 – 2025-12-23 6 3 -$4.8M 6 C-suite
2026-01-06 – 2026-01-16 6 5 -$4.2M 4 C-suite
2026-03-26 – 2026-04-08 5 4 -$8.5M 3 C-suite
2026-06-01 – 2026-06-03 4 3 -$20.3M 1 C-suite
2026-06-24 – 2026-07-08 5 4 -$4.8M 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-26 Mhatre Ravi -$284,458.71 Transaction at $71.49, now +18.0%
2026-04-01 MCLAUGHLIN MARK D +$502,219.98 Transaction at $47.21, now +78.7%
2026-03-26 Choudary Kiran Kumar Chief Financial Officer -$5.9M Transaction at $48.20, now +75.1%
2026-03-26 Nithrakashyap Arvind Chief Technology Officer -$1.4M Transaction at $48.20, now +75.1%
2026-06-03 Nithrakashyap Arvind Chief Technology Officer -$18.9M Transaction at $83.85, now +0.6%
2026-01-16 Mhatre Ravi -$452,530.543 Transaction at $85.27, now -1.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Rubrik, Inc. (RBRK) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for RBRK on Trend Edge →