PRGS — Progress Software Corporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates PRGS Bearish with a Setup Score of 66, net conviction 41, actionability 107. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score66
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction41
Actionability107 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Progress Software Corporation

Progress Software Corporation provides software products that develops, deploys, and manages artificial intelligence (AI) powered applications and digital experiences in the United States and internationally. The company offers Agentic RAG, a next-generation Agentic Rag-as-a-Service platform; Automate MFT, a cloud-native Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) platform for automated and secure file transfers; Chef, a DevOps/DevSecOps automation software; Co… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$37.86
Market Cap$1.55B
Float40.5M
Shares Outstanding41.0M
P/E (Forward)6.33
P/E (TTM)19.07
Price/Sales (TTM)1.57
vs. Analyst Target+33.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin8.87%
Operating Margin (TTM)18.55%
Revenue (TTM)$1.00B
Earnings Growth (YoY)28.20%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$50.67 (7 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $442M $79.7M $380M $142M
2021 $531M $78.4M $453M $169M
2022 $602M $95.1M $508M $208M
2023 $694M $70.2M $568M $111M
2024 $753M $68.4M $623M $229M
2025 $978M $73.1M $790M $159M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Aug 2025 $250M $19.4M
Nov 2025 $253M $25.7M
Feb 2026 $248M $22.8M
May 2026 $253M $21.1M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.3%
Institutional Ownership111.4%
Short Float9.4%
% of All Funds Holding3.29%
Number of Funds Holding270

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$32.22Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$37.07Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$45.78Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$51.74Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$36.76Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$45.99Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$51.51Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$25.00 support 1.14x 2 months ago
$41.00 resistance 1.22x 3 months ago
$60.00 resistance 2.14x 11 months ago
$65.00 resistance 1.56x 17 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (126 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.46% 0.14% 51.59% 21.09% -15.37%
1 Day 0.90% 0.47% 53.97% 27.91% -17.06%
1 Week 1.46% 1.47% 55.56% 24.61% -19.88%
2 Weeks 0.97% 1.10% 52.80% 26.36% -24.01%
1 Month 1.85% 1.72% 56.80% 24.41% -28.00%

Next earnings: September 18, 2026 (68 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.5%48.6%35
Feb-1.1%40.0%35
Mar0.7%54.3%35
Apr-1.0%42.9%35
May0.1%62.9%35
Jun3.2%68.6%35
Jul-1.9%41.2%34
Aug1.5%48.6%35
Sep3.1%54.3%35
Oct2.6%54.3%35
Nov2.5%51.4%35
Dec4.1%62.9%35

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.08% 48.3% 1656
Tuesday 0.03% 50.5% 1806
Wednesday 0.09% 50.0% 1803
Thursday 0.16% 49.8% 1770
Friday 0.11% 49.3% 1759

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 111.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings12
Net Value-$2.2M
Net Shares Change-15,582
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings10
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Subramanian Sundar EVP/GM Infrastructure Mgmt -$780,769.13 3 N/A
FOLGER ANTHONY Chief Financial Officer -$766,189.774 2 N/A
KRALL DAVID +$250,612.5 1 1 buy
WANG YUFAN STEPHANIE Chief Legal Officer -$144,851.853 1 N/A
Gupta Yogesh K Chief Executive Officer +$103,194 1 1 buy
Gawlick Rainer +$74,350.8 1 1 buy
Pitt Ian Chief Information Officer -$18,895.8 1 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-10-03 – 2025-10-07 3 3 -$570,969.817 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-07-24 Gupta Yogesh K Chief Executive Officer +$103,194 Transaction at $49.14, now -23.0%
2025-07-24 KRALL DAVID +$250,612.5 Transaction at $48.90, now -22.6%
2025-08-13 Gawlick Rainer +$74,350.8 Transaction at $43.48, now -12.9%
2026-05-20 WANG YUFAN STEPHANIE Chief Legal Officer -$144,851.853 Transaction at $28.86, now +31.2%
2026-05-20 FOLGER ANTHONY Chief Financial Officer -$130,333.884 Transaction at $29.13, now +30.0%
2026-03-12 Subramanian Sundar EVP/GM Infrastructure Mgmt -$721,259.52 Transaction at $37.88, now -0.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Progress Software Corporation (PRGS) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for PRGS on Trend Edge →