PRGS — Progress Software Corporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Progress Software Corporation

Progress Software Corporation provides software products that develops, deploys, and manages artificial intelligence (AI) powered applications and digital experiences in the United States and internationally. The company offers Agentic RAG, a next-generation Agentic Rag-as-a-Service platform; Automate MFT, a cloud-native Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) platform for automated and secure file transfers; Chef, a DevOps/DevSecOps automation software; Co… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$29.49
Market Cap$1.22B
Float41.6M
Shares Outstanding42.1M
P/E (Forward)4.82
P/E (TTM)14.83
Price/Sales (TTM)1.23
vs. Analyst Target+72.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin8.61%
Operating Margin (TTM)19.91%
Revenue (TTM)$988M
Earnings Growth (YoY)120.80%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$50.83 (7 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $442M $79.7M $380M $142M
2021 $531M $78.4M $453M $169M
2022 $602M $95.1M $508M $208M
2023 $694M $70.2M $568M $111M
2024 $753M $68.4M $623M $229M
2025 $978M $73.1M $790M $160M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
May 2025 $237M $17.0M
Aug 2025 $250M $19.4M
Nov 2025 $253M $25.7M
Feb 2026 $248M $22.8M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.1%
Institutional Ownership106.5%
Short Float10.3%
% of All Funds Holding3.29%
Number of Funds Holding270

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$28.41Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$38.49Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$48.31Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$52.16Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$38.30Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$48.88Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$52.52Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$25.90 support 1.22x 0 months ago
$41.00 resistance 1.22x 1 months ago
$60.00 resistance 2.14x 9 months ago
$65.00 resistance 1.56x 15 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (125 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.48% 0.16% 52.00% 21.09% -15.37%
1 Day 0.77% 0.45% 53.60% 27.91% -17.06%
1 Week 1.35% 1.46% 55.20% 24.61% -19.88%
2 Weeks 0.97% 1.10% 52.80% 26.36% -24.01%
1 Month 1.85% 1.72% 56.80% 24.41% -28.00%

Next earnings: June 29, 2026 (32 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.5%48.6%35
Feb-1.1%40.0%35
Mar0.7%54.3%35
Apr-1.0%42.9%35
May-0.4%61.8%34
Jun3.3%67.6%34
Jul-1.9%41.2%34
Aug1.5%48.6%35
Sep3.1%54.3%35
Oct2.6%54.3%35
Nov2.5%51.4%35
Dec4.1%62.9%35

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.09% 48.3% 1650
Tuesday 0.03% 50.5% 1800
Wednesday 0.09% 50.0% 1797
Thursday 0.16% 49.9% 1764
Friday 0.10% 49.3% 1755

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 106.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings14
Net Value-$2.6M
Net Shares Change-23,798
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings12
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
FOLGER ANTHONY Chief Financial Officer -$1.1M 3 N/A
Subramanian Sundar EVP/GM Infrastructure Mgmt -$778,543.76 2 N/A
KRALL DAVID +$250,612.5 1 1 buy
WANG YUFAN STEPHANIE Chief Legal Officer -$144,851.853 1 N/A
Pitt Ian Chief Information Officer -$142,549.06 1 N/A
Gupta Yogesh K Chief Executive Officer +$103,194 1 1 buy
Gawlick Rainer +$74,350.8 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-07-02 – 2025-07-09 3 3 -$465,630.49 3 C-suite
2025-10-03 – 2025-10-07 3 3 -$570,969.817 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-07-24 Gupta Yogesh K Chief Executive Officer +$103,194 Transaction at $49.14, now -40.0%
2025-07-24 KRALL DAVID +$250,612.5 Transaction at $48.90, now -39.7%
2026-05-20 WANG YUFAN STEPHANIE Chief Legal Officer -$144,851.853 Transaction at $28.86, now +2.2%
2025-08-13 Gawlick Rainer +$74,350.8 Transaction at $43.48, now -32.2%
2026-03-12 Subramanian Sundar EVP/GM Infrastructure Mgmt -$721,259.52 Transaction at $37.88, now -22.1%
2026-05-20 FOLGER ANTHONY Chief Financial Officer -$130,333.884 Transaction at $29.13, now +1.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Progress Software Corporation (PRGS) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for PRGS on Trend Edge →