POWW — Ammo Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Ammo Inc

Outdoor Holding Company engages in online marketplace business. It owns and operates the GunBroker e-commerce marketplace, an auction site that supports the lawful sale of firearms, ammunition, and hunting/shooting accessories. The company is also involved in banner advertising campaign activities. Outdoor Holding Company was formerly known as AMMO, Inc. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$1.91
Market Cap$227M
Float87.5M
Shares Outstanding117.3M
P/E (Forward)9.77
Price/Sales (TTM)4.93
vs. Analyst Target+38.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-174.58%
Operating Margin (TTM)14.71%
Revenue (TTM)$46.0M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-75.00%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$2.65 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $14.8M -$14.6M -$3.7M -$9.4M
2021 $62.5M -$7.8M $11.4M $73,556
2022 $240M $25.9M $88.7M $46.0M
2023 $63.1M -$8.8M $54.0M $15.1M
2024 $53.9M -$16.6M $46.3M $6.6M
2025 $49.4M -$131M $42.9M -$45.3M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Mar 2025 -$42.2M -$77.5M
Jun 2025 $11.9M -$6.5M
Sep 2025 $12.0M $1.4M
Dec 2025 $13.4M $2.2M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership10.7%
Institutional Ownership52.2%
Short Float3.4%
% of All Funds Holding1.62%
Number of Funds Holding133

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$2.00Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$1.77Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$1.60Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$2.02Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$1.78Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$1.59Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$1.85Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$1.70 support 1.25x 2 months ago
$2.60 resistance 1.68x 22 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (37 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.31% 0.00% 48.65% 7.51% -20.38%
1 Day -1.16% 0.00% 37.84% 15.69% -28.69%
1 Week -3.07% -3.43% 40.54% 36.36% -32.48%
2 Weeks -3.81% -4.55% 40.54% 34.44% -37.50%
1 Month -5.74% -9.88% 37.84% 40.35% -42.36%

Next earnings: June 15, 2026 (29 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan24.4%77.8%9
Feb4.6%66.7%9
Mar18.7%60.0%10
Apr4.3%40.0%10
May-6.0%44.4%9
Jun5.7%55.6%9
Jul-4.5%33.3%9
Aug-3.0%44.4%9
Sep-11.1%22.2%9
Oct2.1%44.4%9
Nov-4.2%44.4%9
Dec-1.0%44.4%9

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.02% 43.3% 436
Tuesday 0.52% 43.1% 478
Wednesday -0.18% 38.0% 476
Thursday -0.05% 41.5% 468
Friday 0.42% 43.2% 468

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 52.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 10.7%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Ammo Inc (POWW) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for POWW on Trend Edge →