PLOW — Douglas Dynamics Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Douglas Dynamics Inc

Douglas Dynamics, Inc. operates as a manufacturer and upfitter of commercial vehicle attachments and equipment in North America. It operates in two segments, Work Truck Attachments and Work Truck Solutions. The Work Truck Attachments segment manufactures and sells snow and ice control attachments, and other products sold under the FISHER, WESTERN, and SNOWEX brands, as well as truck-mounted service cranes and dump hoists under the VENCO and VENTU… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$45.34
Market Cap$1.01B
Float22.7M
Shares Outstanding23.1M
P/E (Forward)16.18
P/E (TTM)19.61
Price/Sales (TTM)1.48
vs. Analyst Target+24.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin7.83%
Operating Margin (TTM)7.24%
Revenue (TTM)$679M
Earnings Growth (YoY)63.90%
Dividend Rate1.2%
Analyst Target Price$56.25 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $480M -$86.6M $128M -$58.9M
2021 $541M $30.7M $142M $66.7M
2022 $616M $38.6M $151M $79.6M
2023 $568M $23.7M $134M $66.6M
2024 $569M $56.2M $147M $107M
2025 $656M $46.9M $168M $89.0M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $194M $26.0M
Sep 2025 $162M $8.0M
Dec 2025 $185M $12.8M
Mar 2026 $138M $6.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.5%
Institutional Ownership108.3%
Short Float2.1%
% of All Funds Holding2.54%
Number of Funds Holding209

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$44.75Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$37.47Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$31.99Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$30.45Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$37.73Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$31.76Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$29.85Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$37.80 support 1.37x 2 months ago
$23.90 support 1.41x 11 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (65 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.53% 0.06% 50.77% 9.14% -6.58%
1 Day 0.36% 0.19% 50.77% 16.59% -12.99%
1 Week 0.80% -0.28% 47.69% 17.85% -16.92%
2 Weeks 0.93% 0.40% 53.85% 23.91% -25.86%
1 Month 2.18% 1.03% 53.13% 26.28% -35.48%

Next earnings: July 24, 2026 (57 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-1.9%31.3%16
Feb5.0%62.5%16
Mar-4.5%25.0%16
Apr-0.4%43.8%16
May0.4%33.3%15
Jun2.2%62.5%16
Jul2.2%56.3%16
Aug3.6%50.0%16
Sep-1.4%31.3%16
Oct4.0%68.8%16
Nov4.8%68.8%16
Dec-1.0%50.0%16

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.02% 49.5% 755
Tuesday 0.14% 47.9% 831
Wednesday -0.02% 49.5% 827
Thursday 0.04% 49.7% 813
Friday 0.10% 50.2% 812

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 108.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.5%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value-$78,651.599
Net Shares Change-1,846
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Sisulak Jon J Controller -$41,626.551 1 N/A
Bernauer Christopher E Pres. Work Truck Attachments -$37,025.049 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-11 Bernauer Christopher E Pres. Work Truck Attachments -$37,025.049 Transaction at $42.61, now +6.4%
2026-03-11 Sisulak Jon J Controller -$41,626.551 Transaction at $42.61, now +6.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Douglas Dynamics Inc (PLOW) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for PLOW on Trend Edge →