Short Squeeze Setup — velZ +0.20 · age 19w×1.00 · 4.11%
Seasonal Tailwind — october med 3.2% (mag 1/3) · posClose 61.54% (rel 1/3) · n26 ×0.75 = 3.8
Hidden Gem — stWatch 850
About Packaging Corp of America
Packaging Corporation of America manufactures and sells containerboard and uncoated freesheet (UFS) paper products in North America. The company operates through Packaging and Paper segments. The Packaging segment offers various linerboard and corrugated packaging products, such as conventional shipping containers used to protect and transport manufactured goods; multi-color boxes and displays that help to merchandise the packaged product in reta… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Consumer Cyclical
Industry: Packaging & Containers
Exchange: NYSE
IPO Date: January 27, 2000
Headquarters: 1 North Field Court, Lake Forest, IL, United States, 60045
Hidden Gem: Yes — undiscovered relative to its market cap tier
Founder-Led: No
Key Metrics
Current Price
$246.54
Market Cap
$22.24B
Float
87.0M
Shares Outstanding
89.1M
P/E (Forward)
24.21
P/E (TTM)
32.45
Price/Sales (TTM)
2.33
vs. Analyst Target
+5.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
7.26%
Operating Margin (TTM)
13.12%
Revenue (TTM)
$9.53B
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-19.50%
Dividend Rate
6.0%
Analyst Target Price
$260.50 (11 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$6.66B
$461M
$1.39B
$1.14B
2021
$7.73B
$841M
$1.87B
$1.68B
2022
$8.48B
$1.03B
$2.09B
$1.89B
2023
$7.80B
$765M
$1.70B
$1.59B
2024
$8.38B
$805M
$1.78B
$1.63B
2025
$8.99B
$769M
$1.89B
$1.76B
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Sep 2025
$2.31B
$227M
Dec 2025
$2.36B
$101M
Mar 2026
$2.37B
$171M
Jun 2026
$2.49B
$192M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
1.6%
Institutional Ownership
100.1%
Short Float
3.8%
% of All Funds Holding
10.14%
Number of Funds Holding
892
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$245.27
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$224.62
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$212.02
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$187.03
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$224.02
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$212.83
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$196.41
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Packaging Corp of America
(PKG) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model.
The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit,
stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward.
Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup,
AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.