BALL — Ball Corporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Ball Corporation

Ball Corporation supplies aluminum packaging products for the beverage, personal care, and household products industries in the United States, Brazil, and internationally. The company manufactures and sells aluminum beverage containers to fillers of carbonated soft drinks, beer, energy drinks, and other beverages. It manufactures and sells extruded aluminum aerosol containers, recloseable aluminum bottles, aluminum cups, and aluminum slugs. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$56.51
Market Cap$15.00B
Float265.2M
Shares Outstanding266.2M
P/E (Forward)14.37
P/E (TTM)16.57
Price/Sales (TTM)1.10
vs. Analyst Target+25.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin6.86%
Operating Margin (TTM)9.35%
Revenue (TTM)$13.67B
Earnings Growth (YoY)21.90%
Dividend Rate0.8%
Analyst Target Price$70.79 (17 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $11.76B $585M $1.88B $1.62B
2021 $13.93B $878M $2.03B $1.98B
2022 $15.35B $719M $2.58B $1.88B
2023 $14.03B $707M $2.67B $1.96B
2024 $11.79B $4.01B $2.44B $1.46B
2025 $13.16B $912M $1.96B $2.09B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $3.32B $212M
Sep 2025 $3.37B $321M
Dec 2025 $3.35B $199M
Mar 2026 $3.60B $205M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.3%
Institutional Ownership90.2%
Short Float2.5%
% of All Funds Holding8.98%
Number of Funds Holding738

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$59.60Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$55.43Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$54.88Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$56.70Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$55.33Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$55.46Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$57.21Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$50.00 support 1.00x 4 months ago
$69.00 resistance 1.15x 22 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (116 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.14% 0.14% 56.90% 3.87% -2.57%
1 Day 0.05% -0.14% 46.55% 11.65% -6.37%
1 Week 0.29% 0.46% 55.17% 11.33% -11.28%
2 Weeks 0.57% 0.10% 50.86% 23.06% -17.07%
1 Month 0.90% 0.78% 53.91% 23.79% -30.03%

Next earnings: July 24, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.6%52.9%51
Feb1.4%54.9%51
Mar1.9%54.9%51
Apr1.8%64.7%51
May-0.3%54.0%50
Jun0.7%48.0%50
Jul3.1%70.0%50
Aug1.3%56.0%50
Sep-1.5%50.0%50
Oct0.1%52.0%50
Nov2.7%72.0%50
Dec2.2%60.8%51

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.00% 46.5% 2384
Tuesday 0.06% 46.5% 2585
Wednesday 0.07% 47.2% 2586
Thursday 0.09% 49.4% 2536
Friday 0.05% 47.6% 2523

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 90.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings4
Net Value-$1.8M
Net Shares Change-17,162
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Carey Nate C Vice President and Controller -$1.2M 1 1 sell
Pitre Kathleen SVP and President NCA -$710,319.506 1 1 sell
Villatoro Fauze SVP and President South America +$100,056.871 1 1 buy
Fisher Daniel William Chairman and C.E.O. -$62,900 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-05 Villatoro Fauze SVP and President South America +$100,056.871 Transaction at $64.51, now -12.4%
2026-03-02 Pitre Kathleen SVP and President NCA -$710,319.506 Transaction at $66.63, now -15.2%
2026-02-06 Carey Nate C Vice President and Controller -$1.2M Transaction at $66.32, now -14.8%
2025-08-29 Fisher Daniel William Chairman and C.E.O. -$62,900 Transaction at $42.30, now +33.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Ball Corporation (BALL) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for BALL on Trend Edge →