IP — International Paper

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About International Paper

International Paper Company produces and sells renewable fiber-based packaging in North America, Latin America, Europe, South America, and North Africa. It operates through two segments, Packaging Solutions North America and Packaging Solutions EMEA. The company offers linerboard, medium, whitetop, and saturating kraft; and converts containerboard into corrugated boxes, bulk bins, shipping containers and specialty packaging through its converting… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$31.96
Market Cap$16.68B
Float527.0M
Shares Outstanding529.5M
P/E (Forward)20.88
Price/Sales (TTM)0.69
vs. Analyst Target+23.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-13.77%
Operating Margin (TTM)3.72%
Revenue (TTM)$24.34B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-90.10%
Dividend Rate1.9%
Analyst Target Price$39.36 (13 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $17.57B $230M $4.18B $2.06B
2021 $19.36B $1.75B $5.53B $2.64B
2022 $21.16B $1.50B $6.02B $2.95B
2023 $18.92B $302M $3.85B $2.27B
2024 $18.62B $557M $5.24B $1.88B
2025 $24.90B -$3.52B $7.35B -$138M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $6.77B $75.0M
Sep 2025 $6.22B -$1.10B
Dec 2025 $6.01B -$2.38B
Mar 2026 $5.97B $60.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.2%
Institutional Ownership99.3%
Short Float8.4%
% of All Funds Holding9.58%
Number of Funds Holding787

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$33.48Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$40.33Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$45.92Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$41.31Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$39.55Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$45.81Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$41.83Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$36.00 resistance 1.32x 0 months ago
$42.00 resistance 1.34x 1 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (142 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.00% 0.00% 49.30% 3.43% -4.80%
1 Day 0.22% 0.14% 52.11% 11.89% -13.31%
1 Week 0.50% 0.33% 52.82% 19.44% -23.95%
2 Weeks 0.29% 0.32% 53.52% 34.50% -34.51%
1 Month 0.74% 1.53% 59.57% 32.46% -55.99%

Next earnings: July 30, 2026 (63 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.6%54.9%51
Feb-0.9%47.1%51
Mar0.4%43.1%51
Apr2.6%64.7%51
May-0.0%50.0%50
Jun-1.1%40.0%50
Jul3.6%64.0%50
Aug-0.5%44.0%50
Sep-1.9%38.0%50
Oct-0.7%48.0%50
Nov2.4%60.0%50
Dec1.7%62.7%51

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.05% 48.5% 2384
Tuesday 0.09% 48.7% 2586
Wednesday 0.02% 47.4% 2587
Thursday -0.02% 46.3% 2537
Friday 0.08% 49.4% 2524

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 99.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings6
Net Value+$895,669.85
Net Shares Change83,273
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Silvernail Andrew K Chief Executive Officer +$2.0M 1 1 buy
Connor Christopher M +$1.0M 1 1 buy
GUSTAFSSON ANDERS +$1.0M 1 1 buy
Ellis Clay R Senior Vice President -$693,480.15 1 1 sell
Saab Joseph R. SVP, GC and Corp. Secretary -$409,815 1 1 sell
Tozier Scott +$313,009 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-01 Tozier Scott +$313,009 Transaction at $31.30, now +2.1%
2026-03-12 GUSTAFSSON ANDERS +$1.0M Transaction at $38.33, now -16.6%
2026-01-30 Silvernail Andrew K Chief Executive Officer +$2.0M Transaction at $39.98, now -20.1%
2026-02-02 Connor Christopher M +$1.0M Transaction at $40.37, now -20.8%
2025-12-17 Ellis Clay R Senior Vice President -$693,480.15 Transaction at $36.85, now -13.3%
2025-09-18 Saab Joseph R. SVP, GC and Corp. Secretary -$409,815 Transaction at $45.53, now -29.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for International Paper (IP) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for IP on Trend Edge →