PDYN — Palladyne AI Corp

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates PDYN Bearish with a Setup Score of 38, net conviction 32, actionability 44. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score38
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction32
Actionability44 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Palladyne AI Corp

Palladyne AI Corp., a technology company, develops and offers embodied artificial intelligence software and collaborative autonomy solutions in the United States. Its Artificial Intelligence (AI)/ Machine Learning (ML) Foundational Technology enables robots to observe, learn, reason, and act in unstructured. In addition, the company's technologies enable robotic systems to perceive their environment and quickly adapt to changing circumstances by … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$5.99
Market Cap$291M
Float29.8M
Shares Outstanding49.3M
P/E (Forward)4.61
Price/Sales (TTM)41.08
vs. Analyst Target+87.8% to analyst PT
Operating Margin (TTM)-336.89%
Revenue (TTM)$7.1M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$11.25 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $8.8M -$20.9M $3.2M -$20.5M
2021 $5.1M -$81.5M $1.2M -$80.9M
2022 $14.6M -$157M $3.0M -$103M
2023 $6.1M -$116M $1.1M -$78.6M
2024 $7.8M -$72.6M $4.3M -$26.3M
2025 $5.2M $10.0M $2.6M $8.6M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.0M -$7.5M
Sep 2025 $860,000 -$3.7M
Dec 2025 $1.7M -$1.5M
Mar 2026 $3.5M -$12.6M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership35.8%
Institutional Ownership24.3%
Short Float31.0%
% of All Funds Holding1.27%
Number of Funds Holding104

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$5.83Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$6.18Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$7.04Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$4.50Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$6.14Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$6.87Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$4.56Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$4.40 support 2.48x 6 months ago
$11.40 resistance 2.38x 18 months ago
$2.10 support 5.91x 20 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (20 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.03% -0.14% 45.00% 11.39% -7.09%
1 Day -2.00% -2.44% 40.00% 9.65% -23.78%
1 Week -3.20% -3.30% 45.00% 30.23% -40.59%
2 Weeks -5.71% -4.59% 35.00% 46.21% -37.33%
1 Month -7.81% -5.47% 36.84% 46.21% -58.34%

Next earnings: October 25, 2026 (77 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.21% 41.4% 227
Tuesday 0.17% 40.9% 252
Wednesday 0.45% 48.8% 250
Thursday -0.39% 40.7% 243
Friday 0.63% 39.3% 244

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 24.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 35.8%

Founder-led management: Ben Wolff (Co-Founder, President, CEO & Director), Fraser Smith (Co-Founder & CTO)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings23
Net Value-$734,672.72
Net Shares Change-19,114
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings21
Clusters Detected5

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
GARAGIC DENIS CHIEF TECHNOLOGY OFFICER -$105,529.344 1 N/A
Wolff Benjamin G PRESIDENT & CEO +$103,338.5 4 4 buy
THATCHER TREVOR CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER -$85,772.734 2 N/A
Young Michael T. +$45,287.56 2 2 buy
SONNE STEPHEN CHIEF LEGAL OFFICER -$32,225.28 1 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-08-21 – 2025-08-21 4 4 -$199,992.66 4 C-suite
2025-11-18 – 2025-11-25 9 6 -$2,547.897 7 C-suite
2026-03-12 – 2026-03-12 3 3 -$206,839.8 3 C-suite
2026-03-30 – 2026-03-31 4 4 -$114,227.395 4 C-suite
2026-05-21 – 2026-05-21 3 3 -$165,777.408 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-30 Wolff Benjamin G PRESIDENT & CEO +$5,850 Transaction at $5.85, now +2.4%
2025-11-24 Wolff Benjamin G PRESIDENT & CEO +$15,860.1 Transaction at $5.29, now +13.3%
2025-11-20 Wolff Benjamin G PRESIDENT & CEO +$43,232 Transaction at $5.40, now +10.8%
2025-11-18 Wolff Benjamin G PRESIDENT & CEO +$38,396.4 Transaction at $5.49, now +9.2%
2025-11-25 Young Michael T. +$15,569.4 Transaction at $5.19, now +15.4%
2025-11-19 Young Michael T. +$29,718.16 Transaction at $5.61, now +6.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Palladyne AI Corp (PDYN) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for PDYN on Trend Edge →