PD — Pagerduty Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Pagerduty Inc

PagerDuty, Inc. engages in the operation of a digital operations management platform in the United States and internationally. The company collects data and digital signals from virtually any software-enabled system or device and leverages artificial intelligence and powerful machine learning to correlate, process, predict, and remediate incident. Its platform includes PagerDuty Incident Management that provides a real-time view status of a digit… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$7.19
Market Cap$540M
Float78.0M
Shares Outstanding76.6M
P/E (Forward)5.64
P/E (TTM)3.77
Price/Sales (TTM)1.10
vs. Analyst Target+11.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin35.30%
Operating Margin (TTM)3.62%
Revenue (TTM)$493M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$8.00 (13 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $214M -$68.9M $183M -$57.6M
2022 $281M -$107M $233M -$93.4M
2023 $371M -$129M $300M -$107M
2024 $431M -$81.8M $353M -$52.8M
2025 $467M -$42.7M $388M -$11.9M
2026 $493M $174M $418M $19.0M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Apr 2025 $120M -$6.5M
Jul 2025 $123M $9.8M
Oct 2025 $125M $160M
Jan 2026 $125M $11.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership6.7%
Institutional Ownership102.7%
Short Float10.8%
% of All Funds Holding2.80%
Number of Funds Holding230

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$6.74Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$11.17Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$14.13Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$19.80Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$11.21Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$14.27Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$19.02Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$10.60 resistance 1.82x 2 months ago
$13.00 resistance 1.05x 3 months ago
$15.90 resistance 1.39x 5 months ago
$18.30 resistance 1.24x 12 months ago
$21.30 resistance 1.26x 16 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (29 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -1.18% -2.95% 48.28% 22.16% -22.84%
1 Day -0.28% -1.15% 44.83% 26.21% -25.78%
1 Week 1.73% 0.24% 53.57% 35.94% -31.41%
2 Weeks 2.51% 2.39% 57.14% 39.71% -29.04%
1 Month 0.72% -1.34% 42.86% 41.62% -27.90%

Next earnings: May 28, 2026 (1 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.2%57.1%7
Feb-7.6%42.9%7
Mar-3.3%42.9%7
Apr-3.3%42.9%7
May-0.7%28.6%7
Jun2.2%71.4%7
Jul1.8%57.1%7
Aug-0.1%57.1%7
Sep-11.4%0.0%7
Oct-3.6%28.6%7
Nov2.1%57.1%7
Dec4.3%57.1%7

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.01% 52.8% 335
Tuesday -0.17% 45.7% 370
Wednesday 0.11% 48.1% 366
Thursday -0.13% 48.0% 358
Friday 0.07% 49.6% 359

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 102.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 6.7%

Founder-led management: Alex Solomon (Co-Founder & General Manager, Director)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings3
Net Value-$2.3M
Net Shares Change-266,715
% of Float-0.3%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Solomon Dan Alexandru -$3.6M 2 N/A
Tejada Jennifer Executive Chair -$2.3M 1 N/A

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-12-31 Solomon Dan Alexandru -$3.6M Transaction at $13.35, now -46.1%
2026-05-20 Tejada Jennifer Executive Chair -$2.3M Transaction at $4.48, now +60.4%
2025-07-29 Solomon Dan Alexandru -$864 Transaction at $18.00, now -60.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Pagerduty Inc (PD) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for PD on Trend Edge →