PANW — Palo Alto Networks Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates PANW Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 55, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction55
Actionability0 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Palo Alto Networks Inc

Palo Alto Networks, Inc. provides cybersecurity solutions in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and Japan. It offers Prisma Access, a secure access service edge solution; Strata Cloud Manager, a network security management solution; and Prisma AIRS to protect customers' entire AI ecosystem. It provides a comprehensive cloud native application protection platform; and Code to Cloud platform, as well as offers VM-Serie… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$418.78
Market Cap$325.97B
Float811.2M
Shares Outstanding818.0M
P/E (Forward)94.34
P/E (TTM)996.25
Price/Sales (TTM)28.39
vs. Analyst Target-5.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin2.67%
Operating Margin (TTM)5.40%
Revenue (TTM)$11.48B
Earnings Growth (YoY)60.50%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$396.92 (55 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $4.26B -$499M $2.98B -$46.6M
2022 $5.50B -$267M $3.78B $95.6M
2023 $6.89B $440M $4.98B $869M
2024 $8.03B $2.58B $5.97B $1.28B
2025 $9.22B $1.13B $6.77B $1.94B
2026 $11.48B $307M $8.08B $536M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Oct 2025 $2.47B $334M
Jan 2026 $2.59B $432M
Apr 2026 $3.00B -$177M
Jul 2026 $3.41B -$282M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.8%
Institutional Ownership84.4%
Short Float2.6%
% of All Funds Holding32.74%
Number of Funds Holding2,880

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$370.18Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$259.32Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$225.80Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$175.42Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$281.83Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$236.76Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$197.25Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$288.00 support 1.09x 3 months ago
$182.00 support 1.02x 4 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (57 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.02% 1.55% 52.63% 13.71% -24.83%
1 Day 0.45% 2.00% 57.89% 18.60% -28.44%
1 Week 1.09% 2.46% 56.14% 23.75% -24.59%
2 Weeks 1.46% 3.31% 61.40% 25.00% -29.44%
1 Month 2.20% 2.54% 54.39% 32.60% -29.21%

Next earnings: November 18, 2026 (38 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.9%71.4%14
Feb4.3%71.4%14
Mar-2.9%42.9%14
Apr1.5%57.1%14
May6.9%71.4%14
Jun5.0%64.3%14
Jul2.0%50.0%14
Aug5.0%73.3%15
Sep1.7%53.3%15
Oct-0.5%57.1%14
Nov6.1%50.0%14
Dec0.4%35.7%14

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.16% 55.0% 671
Tuesday 0.19% 51.2% 734
Wednesday 0.02% 52.6% 732
Thursday 0.20% 55.0% 718
Friday 0.12% 53.4% 716

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 84.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.8%

Founder-led management: Nir Zuk (Founder Emeritus & Advisor), Yuming Mao (Founder & Chief Architect)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings37
Net Value-$159M
Net Shares Change70,073
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings24
Clusters Detected7

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Golechha Dipak EVP, Chief Financial Officer -$27.1M 2 1 sell
GOETZ JAMES J -$13.1M 2 2 sell
Arora Nikesh Chief Executive Officer +$10.0M 1 1 buy
Key John P. -$3.0M 2 2 sell
Bawa Aparna -$1.1M 3 3 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-04 – 2025-11-04 4 4 -$94.3M 4 C-suite
2025-12-02 – 2025-12-10 3 3 -$25.2M 2 C-suite
2025-12-29 – 2026-01-12 5 4 -$22.5M 5 C-suite
2026-03-27 – 2026-04-10 4 4 +$8.6M 3 C-suite
2026-06-12 – 2026-06-24 5 4 -$9.6M 1 C-suite
2026-07-01 – 2026-07-08 3 3 -$1.2M 1 C-suite
2026-09-16 – 2026-09-28 5 4 -$19.9M 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-09-16 Key John P. -$940,075 Transaction at $376.03, now +11.4%
2026-09-16 Bawa Aparna -$562,195.05 Transaction at $374.80, now +11.7%
2026-09-21 GOETZ JAMES J -$7.5M Transaction at $376.68, now +11.2%
2026-09-28 Bawa Aparna -$102,098.1 Transaction at $392.69, now +6.6%
2026-03-27 Arora Nikesh Chief Executive Officer +$10.0M Transaction at $146.87, now +185.1%
2026-09-28 Golechha Dipak EVP, Chief Financial Officer -$10.8M Transaction at $391.61, now +6.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Palo Alto Networks Inc (PANW) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for PANW on Trend Edge →