OKTA — Okta Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Okta Inc

Okta, Inc. operates as an identity partner in the United States and internationally. It offers Single Sign-on to secure access to cloud and on-premises applications from any device; Adaptive MFA for a risk-based layer of security for an organization's cloud, mobile, and web applications; API Access Management, which enables organizations to secure APIs as systems; Access Gateway, which extends the Okta platform to hybrid IT environments; Okta Dev… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$89.50
Market Cap$15.80B
Float168.0M
Shares Outstanding167.7M
P/E (Forward)23.53
P/E (TTM)68.78
Price/Sales (TTM)5.41
vs. Analyst Target+12.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin8.05%
Operating Margin (TTM)6.57%
Revenue (TTM)$2.92B
Earnings Growth (YoY)170.80%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$100.44 (45 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $835M -$266M $617M -$156M
2022 $1.30B -$848M $904M -$651M
2023 $1.86B -$815M $1.31B -$676M
2024 $2.26B -$355M $1.68B -$245M
2025 $2.61B $28.0M $1.99B $139M
2026 $2.92B $235M $2.26B $249M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Apr 2025 $688M $62.0M
Jul 2025 $728M $67.0M
Oct 2025 $742M $43.0M
Jan 2026 $761M $63.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.6%
Institutional Ownership98.1%
Short Float5.0%
% of All Funds Holding8.36%
Number of Funds Holding687

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$78.88Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$84.53Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$90.82Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$83.78Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$84.16Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$88.65Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$86.07Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$72.00 support 1.32x 1 months ago
$113.00 resistance 1.49x 11 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (36 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.76% 0.19% 58.33% 16.19% -24.34%
1 Day 0.12% 1.50% 52.78% 26.46% -33.70%
1 Week -0.69% -1.32% 41.67% 19.82% -29.21%
2 Weeks -1.10% -1.04% 44.44% 27.49% -35.44%
1 Month 1.30% 3.21% 58.33% 31.62% -34.61%

Next earnings: May 28, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan6.8%66.7%9
Feb4.0%55.6%9
Mar0.7%44.4%9
Apr3.0%55.6%9
May4.6%55.6%9
Jun-1.6%55.6%9
Jul3.4%66.7%9
Aug3.1%44.4%9
Sep-6.8%22.2%9
Oct-2.6%33.3%9
Nov2.6%55.6%9
Dec6.3%77.8%9

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.12% 53.3% 430
Tuesday 0.17% 51.2% 473
Wednesday 0.27% 53.9% 469
Thursday 0.25% 53.1% 461
Friday -0.01% 52.3% 461

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 98.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.6%

Founder-led management: Todd McKinnon (Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO), Frederic Kerrest (Co-Founder & Executive Vice Chairman)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings32
Net Value-$22.2M
Net Shares Change-232,103
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings29
Clusters Detected6

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
McKinnon Todd Chief Executive Officer -$3.7M 2 N/A
Kelleher Eric Robert President and Chief Operating Officer -$3.6M 3 N/A
Addison Jonathan James Chief Revenue Officer -$1.8M 1 N/A
Schwartz Larissa Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary -$1.0M 2 N/A
Schellhase David +$267,408.026 1 N/A
ARCHAMBEAU SHELLYE L -$212,500 1 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-07-16 – 2025-07-29 5 4 -$6.9M 5 C-suite
2025-09-19 – 2025-10-03 5 4 -$4.8M 5 C-suite
2025-12-09 – 2025-12-23 3 3 -$1.9M 3 C-suite
2026-01-06 – 2026-01-15 4 4 -$1.4M 4 C-suite
2026-03-12 – 2026-03-25 3 3 -$2.4M 3 C-suite
2026-03-27 – 2026-04-09 3 3 -$2.5M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-08 Schwartz Larissa Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary -$494,526.785 Transaction at $77.55, now +15.4%
2026-03-27 Addison Jonathan James Chief Revenue Officer -$1.8M Transaction at $77.79, now +15.1%
2026-03-23 Kelleher Eric Robert President and Chief Operating Officer -$1.3M Transaction at $80.00, now +11.9%
2026-05-20 ARCHAMBEAU SHELLYE L -$212,500 Transaction at $85.00, now +5.3%
2026-04-09 Schwartz Larissa Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary -$508,582.968 Transaction at $79.75, now +12.2%
2026-03-25 McKinnon Todd Chief Executive Officer -$912,363.82 Transaction at $81.01, now +10.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Okta Inc (OKTA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for OKTA on Trend Edge →