NXPI — NXP Semiconductors NV

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates NXPI Bullish with a Setup Score of 50, net conviction 41, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score50
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction41
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About NXP Semiconductors NV

NXP Semiconductors N.V. provides semiconductor products in the United States, Germany, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore, the Netherlands, Mainland China, Hong Kong, and internationally. The company's product portfolio includes microcontrollers; application processors; communication processors; wireless connectivity solutions, such as near field communications, ultra-wideband, Bluetooth low-energy, Zigbee, Thread, and Wi-Fi and Wi-Fi/Bluetoot… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$223.15
Market Cap$56.23B
Float251.7M
Shares Outstanding252.2M
P/E (Forward)15.04
P/E (TTM)45.04
Price/Sales (TTM)4.26
vs. Analyst Target+39.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin22.56%
Operating Margin (TTM)30.41%
Revenue (TTM)$13.19B
Earnings Growth (YoY)72.60%
Dividend Rate4.1%
Analyst Target Price$311.10 (32 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $8.61B $52.0M $4.24B $2.35B
2021 $11.06B $1.87B $6.07B $3.81B
2022 $13.21B $2.79B $7.52B $5.04B
2023 $13.28B $2.80B $7.55B $4.90B
2024 $12.61B $2.51B $7.12B $4.42B
2025 $12.27B $2.02B $6.68B $3.81B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $3.17B $631M
Dec 2025 $3.33B $455M
Mar 2026 $3.18B $1.12B
Jun 2026 $3.50B $767M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.1%
Institutional Ownership99.4%
Short Float3.5%
% of All Funds Holding14.15%
Number of Funds Holding1,245

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$253.07Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$244.63Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$227.03Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$218.29Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$241.03Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$225.19Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$226.48Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$275.00 resistance 1.38x 0 months ago
$315.00 resistance 1.47x 1 months ago
$191.00 support 1.20x 3 months ago
$192.00 support 1.09x 7 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (65 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.28% 0.07% 50.77% 22.15% -7.50%
1 Day 1.03% 0.35% 52.31% 25.55% -7.35%
1 Week 1.52% 0.75% 58.46% 31.75% -18.27%
2 Weeks 2.29% 2.23% 58.46% 29.52% -14.32%
1 Month 3.09% 2.97% 65.63% 35.15% -37.42%

Next earnings: October 16, 2026 (50 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan6.1%68.8%16
Feb6.0%75.0%16
Mar-1.1%43.8%16
Apr3.7%50.0%16
May3.3%75.0%16
Jun-0.2%43.8%16
Jul-1.0%50.0%16
Aug0.0%53.3%15
Sep-0.6%43.8%16
Oct0.8%50.0%16
Nov5.7%62.5%16
Dec4.3%56.3%16

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.03% 51.8% 757
Tuesday 0.21% 50.1% 830
Wednesday 0.20% 52.0% 827
Thursday 0.05% 50.6% 812
Friday 0.02% 53.6% 809

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 99.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings12
Net Value-$10.3M
Net Shares Change-45,782
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings11
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Wuamett Jennifer EVP & General Counsel -$4.5M 2 N/A
Jensen Christopher L EVP, Chief People Officer -$2.1M 3 1 sell
Betz William EVP & CFO -$1.5M 1 1 sell
Hardy Andrew EVP, Chief Sales Officer -$1.2M 1 N/A
Micallef Andrew EVP, Chief Operations Officer -$510,150 2 N/A
Southern Julie +$50,733 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-12-05 – 2025-12-17 3 3 -$704,838 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-12-05 Southern Julie +$50,733 Transaction at $225.48, now -1.0%
2025-11-14 Betz William EVP & CFO -$1.5M Transaction at $201.93, now +10.5%
2025-12-05 Jensen Christopher L EVP, Chief People Officer -$524,791 Transaction at $228.17, now -2.2%
2026-06-03 Jensen Christopher L EVP, Chief People Officer -$552,661.38 Transaction at $316.53, now -29.5%
2026-04-27 Jensen Christopher L EVP, Chief People Officer -$1.1M Transaction at $234.03, now -4.6%
2026-04-27 Hardy Andrew EVP, Chief Sales Officer -$1.2M Transaction at $235.00, now -5.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for NXP Semiconductors NV (NXPI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for NXPI on Trend Edge →