NVDA — NVIDIA Corporation

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About NVIDIA Corporation

NVIDIA Corporation operates as a data center scale AI infrastructure company. The company operates through two segments, Compute & Networking, and Graphics segments. The Compute & Networking segment provides data center accelerated computing and networking platforms and artificial intelligence solutions and software, and automotive platforms and autonomous and electric vehicle solutions, including software. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$214.86
Market Cap$5.32T
Float23.32B
Shares Outstanding24.22B
P/E (Forward)27.03
P/E (TTM)33.67
Price/Sales (TTM)24.62
vs. Analyst Target+29.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin55.60%
Operating Margin (TTM)65.02%
Revenue (TTM)$215.94B
Earnings Growth (YoY)95.60%
Dividend Rate0.0%
Analyst Target Price$278.03 (63 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $16.68B $4.33B $10.40B $5.69B
2022 $26.91B $9.75B $17.48B $11.35B
2023 $26.97B $4.37B $15.36B $5.99B
2024 $60.92B $29.76B $44.30B $35.58B
2025 $130.50B $72.88B $97.86B $86.14B
2026 $215.94B $120.07B $153.46B $144.55B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jul 2025 $46.74B $26.42B
Oct 2025 $57.01B $31.91B
Jan 2026 $68.13B $42.96B
Apr 2026 $81.61B $58.32B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership4.0%
Institutional Ownership70.7%
Short Float1.2%
% of All Funds Holding65.98%
Number of Funds Holding5,423

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$201.27Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$187.43Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$162.72Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$100.18Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$188.39Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$161.12Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$114.16Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$80.00 support 1.20x 25 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (109 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 2.18% 2.09% 58.72% 26.15% -19.31%
1 Day 2.04% 0.11% 53.21% 33.11% -21.93%
1 Week 2.25% 2.27% 56.48% 37.76% -24.38%
2 Weeks 3.06% 2.24% 56.48% 38.87% -22.07%
1 Month 5.06% 2.67% 60.19% 79.07% -44.37%

Next earnings: August 8, 2026 (73 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.5%40.7%27
Feb7.5%67.9%28
Mar4.0%42.9%28
Apr0.7%57.1%28
May11.5%66.7%27
Jun-1.7%44.4%27
Jul-1.4%48.1%27
Aug7.5%70.4%27
Sep-1.7%55.6%27
Oct6.3%59.3%27
Nov9.0%74.1%27
Dec3.6%55.6%27

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.17% 51.9% 1290
Tuesday 0.22% 51.3% 1411
Wednesday 0.24% 52.7% 1411
Thursday 0.20% 53.4% 1384
Friday 0.13% 49.2% 1379

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 70.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 4.0%

Founder-led management: Jensen Huang (Co-Founder, CEO, President & Director)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings77
Net Value-$1.49B
Net Shares Change-16,028,265
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings51
Clusters Detected9

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
STEVENS MARK A -$142M 3 3 sell
JONES HARVEY C -$44.3M 1 1 sell
HUDSON DAWN E -$15.4M 1 1 sell
Drell Persis -$7.1M 1 1 sell
BURGESS ROBERT K -$6.7M 1 1 sell
Neal Stephen C -$5.0M 1 1 sell
Shah Aarti S. -$3.4M 1 N/A
SEAWELL A BROOKE -$2.3M 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-06-03 – 2025-06-10 5 4 -$350M
2025-06-23 – 2025-07-07 12 6 -$331M 7 C-suite
2025-07-10 – 2025-07-23 7 3 -$199M 5 C-suite
2025-09-03 – 2025-09-16 7 4 -$265M 4 C-suite
2025-09-19 – 2025-10-02 9 6 -$300M 6 C-suite
2025-11-26 – 2025-12-10 4 4 -$80.8M 1 C-suite
2025-12-12 – 2025-12-22 5 5 -$154M 3 C-suite
2026-01-06 – 2026-01-15 3 3 -$61.6M 3 C-suite
2026-03-11 – 2026-03-24 7 6 -$191M 4 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-24 STEVENS MARK A -$38.5M Transaction at $173.68, now +23.7%
2025-12-17 JONES HARVEY C -$44.3M Transaction at $177.33, now +21.2%
2025-12-22 STEVENS MARK A -$40.1M Transaction at $180.17, now +19.3%
2025-12-09 STEVENS MARK A -$63.6M Transaction at $181.73, now +18.2%
2025-12-04 SEAWELL A BROOKE -$2.3M Transaction at $183.93, now +16.8%
2025-09-04 HUDSON DAWN E -$15.4M Transaction at $170.90, now +25.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for NVDA on Trend Edge →