Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
Trend Edge rates NVDA Bullish with a Setup Score of 47, net conviction 36, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →
| Total Setup Score | 47 |
|---|---|
| Directional Bias | Bullish |
| Net Conviction | 36 |
| Actionability | 62 (in range) |
NVIDIA Corporation operates as a data center scale AI infrastructure company in the United States, Taiwan, China, Hong Kong, Europe, and internationally. It operates through Compute & Networking, and Graphics segments. The Compute & Networking segment provides data center accelerated computing and networking platforms and artificial intelligence solutions and software, and automotive platforms and autonomous and electric vehicle solutions, includ… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
| Current Price | $210.96 |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | $4.91T |
| Float | 23.23B |
| Shares Outstanding | 24.22B |
| P/E (Forward) | 23.26 |
| P/E (TTM) | 31.25 |
| Price/Sales (TTM) | 19.38 |
| vs. Analyst Target | +43.0% to analyst PT |
| Profit Margin | 62.97% |
| Operating Margin (TTM) | 65.60% |
| Revenue (TTM) | $253.49B |
| Earnings Growth (YoY) | 214.50% |
| Dividend Rate | 1.0% |
| Analyst Target Price | $301.62 (63 analysts) |
| Year | Revenue | Net Income | Gross Profit | EBITDA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $16.68B | $4.33B | $10.40B | $5.69B |
| 2022 | $26.91B | $9.75B | $17.48B | $11.35B |
| 2023 | $26.97B | $4.37B | $15.36B | $5.99B |
| 2024 | $60.92B | $29.76B | $44.30B | $35.58B |
| 2025 | $130.50B | $72.88B | $97.86B | $86.14B |
| 2026 | $215.94B | $120.07B | $153.46B | $144.55B |
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 2025 | $46.74B | $26.42B |
| Oct 2025 | $57.01B | $31.91B |
| Jan 2026 | $68.13B | $42.96B |
| Apr 2026 | $81.61B | $58.32B |
| Insider Ownership | 4.0% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | 70.8% |
| Short Float | 1.3% |
| % of All Funds Holding | 65.98% |
| Number of Funds Holding | 5,423 |
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
| Timeframe | SMA | Value | Trend Context |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weekly | 10-Week SMA | $208.63 | Near-term / short-term trend |
| Weekly | 40-Week SMA | $191.28 | Medium-term trend |
| Weekly | 80-Week SMA | $167.55 | Cyclical trend (business cycle) |
| Weekly | 200-Week SMA | $105.76 | Secular trend (multi-year) |
| Monthly | 10-Month SMA | $193.05 | Near-term monthly trend |
| Monthly | 20-Month SMA | $167.94 | Medium-term monthly trend |
| Monthly | 40-Month SMA | $123.07 | Secular monthly trend |
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Volume shelf data not available.
| Timeframe | Avg Return | Median | Win Rate | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gap | 2.18% | 2.09% | 58.72% | 26.15% | -19.31% |
| 1 Day | 2.04% | 0.11% | 53.21% | 33.11% | -21.93% |
| 1 Week | 2.18% | 2.26% | 55.96% | 37.76% | -24.38% |
| 2 Weeks | 2.95% | 2.09% | 55.96% | 38.87% | -22.07% |
| 1 Month | 5.06% | 2.67% | 60.19% | 79.07% | -44.37% |
Next earnings: August 26, 2026 (46 days away)
| Month | Avg Return | Win Rate | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 3.5% | 40.7% | 27 |
| Feb | 7.5% | 67.9% | 28 |
| Mar | 4.0% | 42.9% | 28 |
| Apr | 0.7% | 57.1% | 28 |
| May | 11.3% | 67.9% | 28 |
| Jun | -1.8% | 42.9% | 28 |
| Jul | -1.4% | 48.1% | 27 |
| Aug | 7.5% | 70.4% | 27 |
| Sep | -1.7% | 55.6% | 27 |
| Oct | 6.3% | 59.3% | 27 |
| Nov | 9.0% | 74.1% | 27 |
| Dec | 3.6% | 55.6% | 27 |
| Day | Avg Return | Win Rate | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 0.18% | 52.1% | 1296 |
| Tuesday | 0.22% | 51.2% | 1417 |
| Wednesday | 0.23% | 52.4% | 1417 |
| Thursday | 0.21% | 53.5% | 1390 |
| Friday | 0.12% | 49.1% | 1383 |
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 70.8%
Total insider ownership: 4.0%
Founder-led management: Jensen Huang (Co-Founder, CEO, President & Director)
| Total Filings | 62 |
|---|---|
| Net Value | -$1.30B |
| Net Shares Change | -13,195,919 |
| % of Float | -0.1% |
| C-Suite Filings | 43 |
| Clusters Detected | 8 |
| Name | Title | Net Value | Filings | Activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STEVENS MARK A | -$486M | 4 | 4 sell | |
| JONES HARVEY C | -$88.4M | 2 | 2 sell | |
| HUDSON DAWN E | -$15.4M | 1 | 1 sell | |
| Neal Stephen C | -$8.3M | 2 | 2 sell | |
| Drell Persis | -$7.1M | 1 | 1 sell |
| Period | Filings | Insiders | Net Value | Seniority |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-15 – 2025-07-28 | 6 | 3 | -$178M | 5 C-suite |
| 2025-09-03 – 2025-09-16 | 7 | 4 | -$265M | 4 C-suite |
| 2025-09-19 – 2025-10-02 | 9 | 6 | -$300M | 6 C-suite |
| 2025-11-26 – 2025-12-10 | 4 | 4 | -$80.8M | 1 C-suite |
| 2025-12-12 – 2025-12-22 | 5 | 5 | -$154M | 3 C-suite |
| 2026-01-06 – 2026-01-15 | 3 | 3 | -$61.6M | 3 C-suite |
| 2026-03-11 – 2026-03-24 | 7 | 6 | -$191M | 4 C-suite |
| 2026-05-29 – 2026-06-05 | 3 | 3 | -$225M |
| Date | Insider | Title | Net Value | Price After |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | STEVENS MARK A | -$186M | Transaction at $210.17, now +0.4% | |
| 2026-06-05 | Neal Stephen C | -$3.3M | Transaction at $215.73, now -2.2% | |
| 2026-06-04 | STEVENS MARK A | -$221M | Transaction at $221.10, now -4.6% | |
| 2026-03-24 | STEVENS MARK A | -$38.5M | Transaction at $173.68, now +21.5% | |
| 2025-09-04 | HUDSON DAWN E | -$15.4M | Transaction at $170.90, now +23.4% | |
| 2025-09-23 | Drell Persis | -$7.1M | Transaction at $177.65, now +18.7% |
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
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Get the full AI Consult analysis for NVDA on Trend Edge →