NWE — NorthWestern Corporation

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About NorthWestern Corporation

NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc., doing business as NorthWestern Energy, provides electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and diversified industrial customers. It generates, purchases, transmits, and distributes electricity; and produces, purchases, stores, transmits, and distributes natural gas, as well as owns municipal franchises to provide natural gas service in the communities. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$70.88
Market Cap$4.42B
Float61.1M
Shares Outstanding61.5M
P/E (Forward)18.35
P/E (TTM)26.39
Price/Sales (TTM)2.69
vs. Analyst Target+0.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin10.21%
Operating Margin (TTM)23.03%
Revenue (TTM)$1.64B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-17.60%
Dividend Rate2.7%
Analyst Target Price$71.42 (10 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.20B $155M $892M $421M
2021 $1.37B $187M $947M $471M
2022 $1.48B $183M $764M $478M
2023 $1.42B $194M $781M $526M
2024 $1.51B $224M $1.29B $574M
2025 $1.61B $181M $1.33B $587M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $343M $21.2M
Sep 2025 $387M $38.2M
Dec 2025 $414M $44.7M
Mar 2026 $498M $63.5M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.7%
Institutional Ownership100.8%
Short Float3.8%
% of All Funds Holding4.23%
Number of Funds Holding348

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$70.50Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$65.66Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$60.04Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$56.10Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$65.64Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$60.24Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$56.54Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$65.00 support 1.18x 3 months ago
$60.00 support 1.12x 5 months ago
$54.00 support 1.16x 8 months ago
$52.00 support 1.03x 9 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (74 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.18% 0.08% 55.41% 3.62% -2.91%
1 Day 0.10% 0.17% 56.76% 6.08% -4.49%
1 Week 0.16% -0.04% 50.00% 10.48% -12.64%
2 Weeks -0.06% 0.01% 50.00% 8.52% -20.07%
1 Month 0.63% 0.23% 50.68% 16.03% -16.72%

Next earnings: July 19, 2026 (51 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.3%57.9%19
Feb0.1%63.2%19
Mar1.5%78.9%19
Apr1.4%63.2%19
May-0.1%50.0%18
Jun-0.6%44.4%18
Jul0.9%55.6%18
Aug-0.2%50.0%18
Sep-1.3%38.9%18
Oct0.9%61.1%18
Nov3.4%66.7%18
Dec0.3%66.7%18

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.05% 52.6% 868
Tuesday 0.06% 51.5% 953
Wednesday -0.08% 48.3% 950
Thursday 0.07% 54.9% 931
Friday 0.06% 55.1% 927

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 100.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.7%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for NorthWestern Corporation (NWE) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for NWE on Trend Edge →