NVMI — Nova Ltd

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates NVMI Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 43, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction43
Actionability0 (no mans land)

Key signals behind this score

About Nova Ltd

Nova Ltd. engages in the design, development, production, and sale of process control systems used in the manufacture of semiconductors in Taiwan, the United States, China, Korea, and internationally. The company's product portfolio includes a set of metrology platforms for dimensional, films, and materials and chemical metrology measurements for process control for various semiconductor manufacturing process steps, such as lithography, Etch, che… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$475.90
Market Cap$15.08B
Float31.7M
Shares Outstanding31.8M
P/E (Forward)42.19
P/E (TTM)59.55
Price/Sales (TTM)16.70
vs. Analyst Target+26.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin29.21%
Operating Margin (TTM)30.10%
Revenue (TTM)$903M
Earnings Growth (YoY)0.50%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$603.38 (8 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $269M $47.9M $153M $65.7M
2021 $416M $93.1M $237M $122M
2022 $571M $140M $322M $175M
2023 $518M $136M $293M $172M
2024 $672M $184M $387M $235M
2025 $881M $259M $507M $278M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $220M $68.3M
Sep 2025 $225M $61.4M
Dec 2025 $223M $64.7M
Mar 2026 $235M $69.3M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.1%
Institutional Ownership72.7%
Short Float5.4%
% of All Funds Holding3.76%
Number of Funds Holding309

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$510.49Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$426.32Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$332.50Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$217.39Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$433.84Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$336.74Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$247.35Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$336.00 support 1.21x 5 months ago
$245.00 support 2.10x 9 months ago
$170.00 support 1.30x 25 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (97 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.76% 0.35% 56.70% 24.58% -6.69%
1 Day 0.37% 0.00% 49.48% 12.58% -10.24%
1 Week 0.25% -0.23% 46.39% 32.43% -19.01%
2 Weeks 1.19% 1.21% 54.64% 50.58% -31.25%
1 Month 2.29% 2.37% 58.33% 59.20% -35.30%

Next earnings: August 6, 2026 (24 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan8.1%69.2%26
Feb0.9%50.0%26
Mar-0.2%50.0%26
Apr-0.6%50.0%26
May3.7%66.7%27
Jun3.4%55.6%27
Jul-1.1%42.3%26
Aug0.7%53.8%26
Sep-1.2%38.5%26
Oct2.1%57.7%26
Nov8.8%69.2%26
Dec3.6%57.7%26

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.09% 45.9% 1238
Tuesday 0.09% 46.1% 1353
Wednesday 0.14% 46.3% 1354
Thursday 0.10% 47.7% 1328
Friday 0.19% 46.0% 1322

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 72.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value-$1.5M
Net Shares Change-3,332
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Waisman Gabriel CEO & President -$1.5M 1 N/A
Garty Yaniv -$212,719.2 1 N/A

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-07-06 Waisman Gabriel CEO & President -$1.5M Transaction at $501.30, now -5.1%
2026-06-25 Garty Yaniv -$212,719.2 Transaction at $581.20, now -18.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Nova Ltd (NVMI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for NVMI on Trend Edge →