AMAT — Applied Materials Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates AMAT Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 51, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction51
Actionability0 (extended)

Key signals behind this score

About Applied Materials Inc

Applied Materials, Inc. provides materials engineering solutions, equipment, services, and software to the semiconductor and related industries in the United States, China, Korea, Taiwan, Japan, Southeast Asia, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through Semiconductor Systems and Applied Global Services (AGS) segments. The Semiconductor Systems segment includes semiconductor capital equipment to enable materials engineering steps, i… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$507.03
Market Cap$404.39B
Float790.5M
Shares Outstanding793.6M
P/E (Forward)23.42
P/E (TTM)43.97
Price/Sales (TTM)13.11
vs. Analyst Target+26.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin30.05%
Operating Margin (TTM)33.74%
Revenue (TTM)$30.84B
Earnings Growth (YoY)42.80%
Dividend Rate2.1%
Analyst Target Price$638.94 (40 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $17.20B $3.62B $7.69B $4.78B
2021 $23.06B $5.89B $10.91B $7.39B
2022 $25.79B $6.53B $11.99B $8.26B
2023 $26.52B $6.86B $12.38B $8.46B
2024 $27.18B $7.18B $12.90B $8.79B
2025 $28.37B $7.00B $13.81B $9.65B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Oct 2025 $6.80B $1.90B
Jan 2026 $7.01B $2.03B
Apr 2026 $7.91B $2.81B
Jul 2026 $9.12B $2.54B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.3%
Institutional Ownership86.3%
Short Float2.0%
% of All Funds Holding39.52%
Number of Funds Holding3,476

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$488.81Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$442.38Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$317.97Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$225.23Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$458.84Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$325.60Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$252.24Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$656.00 resistance 1.11x 2 months ago
$321.00 support 1.05x 7 months ago
$205.00 support 1.14x 11 months ago
$157.00 support 1.20x 12 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (122 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.03% -0.27% 46.72% 11.13% -13.57%
1 Day 0.70% 0.05% 51.64% 20.70% -14.07%
1 Week 0.74% 0.41% 51.64% 22.75% -18.52%
2 Weeks 0.49% 0.05% 50.82% 24.22% -17.44%
1 Month 0.46% 0.69% 52.46% 34.58% -33.01%

Next earnings: November 12, 2026 (32 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan7.6%63.0%46
Feb5.3%60.9%46
Mar1.1%47.8%46
Apr3.4%57.4%47
May4.7%61.7%47
Jun0.0%42.6%47
Jul2.3%48.9%47
Aug-0.7%42.6%47
Sep-2.5%38.3%47
Oct0.7%47.8%46
Nov5.0%63.0%46
Dec2.4%56.5%46

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.05% 46.5% 2218
Tuesday 0.09% 47.7% 2407
Wednesday 0.31% 51.3% 2405
Thursday 0.05% 48.5% 2359
Friday 0.09% 46.7% 2343

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 86.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings20
Net Value-$172M
Net Shares Change-327,489
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings15
Clusters Detected3

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
DICKERSON GARY E President and CEO -$105M 2 2 sell
Raja Prabu G. President, Semi. Products Grp. -$31.6M 2 2 sell
Nalamasu Omkaram Senior Vice President, CTO -$20.8M 1 1 sell
Iannotti Thomas J -$5.5M 1 1 sell
Deane Timothy M SVP, Applied Global Services -$5.1M 1 1 sell
Hill Brice SVP, CFO -$3.6M 1 1 sell
Sanders Adam Corp. Controller & CAO -$537,189.15 1 1 sell
BRUNER JUDY -$465,000 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-18 – 2026-02-27 4 3 -$4.5M 2 C-suite
2026-05-26 – 2026-06-05 4 4 -$27.1M 3 C-suite
2026-06-17 – 2026-07-01 6 5 -$143M 5 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-10-05 Sanders Adam Corp. Controller & CAO -$537,189.15 Transaction at $536.93, now -5.6%
2026-08-27 Hill Brice SVP, CFO -$3.6M Transaction at $479.25, now +5.8%
2026-09-10 BRUNER JUDY -$465,000 Transaction at $465.00, now +9.0%
2026-06-17 Nalamasu Omkaram Senior Vice President, CTO -$20.8M Transaction at $592.98, now -14.5%
2026-06-17 DICKERSON GARY E President and CEO -$49.2M Transaction at $593.24, now -14.5%
2026-06-05 Raja Prabu G. President, Semi. Products Grp. -$25.3M Transaction at $505.28, now +0.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Applied Materials Inc (AMAT) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AMAT on Trend Edge →