ARM — Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates ARM Bullish with a Setup Score of 46, net conviction 38, actionability 55. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score46
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction38
Actionability55 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares

Arm Holdings plc researches, develops, licenses, and markets central processing unit (CPU) intellectual property (IP), graphics processing unit IP, systems IP, compute subsystems (CSS), and associated software, tools and related services. The company provides a product portfolio, including CPU IP, GPU and neural processing unit (NPU) accelerators, system IP such as interconnects, compute platform products including pre-integrated CSSs, and develo… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$238.78
Market Cap$267.77B
Float142.6M
Shares Outstanding1.07B
P/E (Forward)114.94
P/E (TTM)255.84
Price/Sales (TTM)51.65
vs. Analyst Target+19.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin20.25%
Operating Margin (TTM)7.60%
Revenue (TTM)$5.16B
Earnings Growth (YoY)108.30%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$286.08 (40 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $2.03B $388M $1.79B $877M
2022 $2.70B $549M $2.48B $963M
2023 $2.68B $524M $2.48B $841M
2024 $3.23B $306M $3.00B $374M
2025 $4.01B $792M $3.80B $903M
2026 $4.92B $904M $4.55B $1.41B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $1.14B $238M
Dec 2025 $1.24B $223M
Mar 2026 $1.49B $313M
Jun 2026 $1.29B $270M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.1%
Institutional Ownership97.0%
Short Float11.8%
% of All Funds Holding10.82%
Number of Funds Holding952

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$278.39Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$203.36Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$170.17Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$202.56Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$170.75Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$0.00Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$209.00 support 1.85x 2 months ago
$150.00 support 1.44x 3 months ago
$124.00 support 1.43x 4 months ago
$105.00 support 1.21x 5 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (13 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.82% -4.02% 30.77% 22.59% -10.72%
1 Day 0.69% -2.34% 38.46% 47.89% -15.72%
1 Week 5.93% -0.31% 46.15% 73.59% -17.85%
2 Weeks 9.48% 6.09% 61.54% 73.15% -17.27%
1 Month 10.81% 14.08% 58.33% 68.16% -35.65%

Next earnings: October 17, 2026 (52 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.64% 54.3% 140
Tuesday -0.22% 49.0% 153
Wednesday 0.83% 54.0% 150
Thursday 0.29% 51.0% 145
Friday -0.05% 48.6% 148

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 97.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings17
Net Value-$74.0M
Net Shares Change-262,709
% of Float-0.2%
C-Suite Filings17
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Collins Spencer Chief Legal Officer -$19.8M 2 2 sell
Abbey William Chief Commercial Officer -$9.9M 5 5 sell
Grisenthwaite Richard Roy Chief Architect -$9.5M 1 1 sell
Bartels Laura Kathleen Chief Accounting Officer -$4.4M 1 1 sell
Eaton Charlotte Claire Chief People Officer -$1.9M 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-05-13 – 2026-05-26 10 5 -$51.9M 10 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-04 Bartels Laura Kathleen Chief Accounting Officer -$4.4M Transaction at $392.70, now -39.2%
2026-06-03 Abbey William Chief Commercial Officer -$2.6M Transaction at $402.72, now -40.7%
2026-06-01 Abbey William Chief Commercial Officer -$1.4M Transaction at $343.81, now -30.5%
2026-05-22 Abbey William Chief Commercial Officer -$1.3M Transaction at $287.03, now -16.8%
2026-05-21 Eaton Charlotte Claire Chief People Officer -$1.9M Transaction at $269.44, now -11.4%
2026-05-21 Abbey William Chief Commercial Officer -$3.7M Transaction at $234.64, now +1.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares (ARM) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ARM on Trend Edge →