NTCT — NetScout Systems Inc

✨ Hidden Gem Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About NetScout Systems Inc

NetScout Systems, Inc. provides carrier service assurance, cybersecurity, and Distributed Denial-of-Service (DDoS) solutions to protect digital business services against disruptions. It offers nGeniusONE management software to predict, preempt, and resolve network and service delivery problems, as well as facilitate the optimization and capacity planning of their network infrastructures; and specialized platforms and analytic modules to analyze a… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$41.13
Market Cap$2.82B
Float67.6M
Shares Outstanding71.5M
P/E (Forward)14.45
P/E (TTM)30.34
Price/Sales (TTM)3.28
vs. Analyst Target+1.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin11.12%
Operating Margin (TTM)9.66%
Revenue (TTM)$859M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-7.10%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$41.71 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $831M $19.4M $609M $139M
2022 $856M $35.9M $641M $147M
2023 $915M $59.6M $691M $174M
2024 $829M -$148M $642M -$60.9M
2025 $823M -$367M $644M -$295M
2026 $859M $95.5M $638M $168M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $187M -$3.7M
Sep 2025 $219M $25.8M
Dec 2025 $251M $55.1M
Mar 2026 $203M $18.2M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership3.8%
Institutional Ownership97.8%
Short Float4.0%
% of All Funds Holding3.16%
Number of Funds Holding260

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$35.68Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$29.44Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$25.85Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$25.93Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$29.61Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$25.91Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$24.98Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$28.60 support 1.27x 1 months ago
$25.60 support 1.02x 6 months ago
$21.20 support 1.27x 8 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (107 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.01% 0.20% 57.94% 20.41% -23.34%
1 Day 1.05% 0.14% 51.40% 29.79% -29.51%
1 Week 1.21% 1.51% 56.07% 39.33% -25.35%
2 Weeks 1.35% 0.99% 50.47% 41.20% -32.20%
1 Month 1.04% 0.44% 51.89% 58.49% -57.63%

Next earnings: August 6, 2026 (70 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.7%55.6%27
Feb-3.4%40.7%27
Mar-2.7%51.9%27
Apr1.9%44.4%27
May5.3%50.0%26
Jun-0.2%46.2%26
Jul-0.4%57.7%26
Aug-3.1%38.5%26
Sep2.9%48.1%27
Oct5.4%59.3%27
Nov6.4%66.7%27
Dec-1.0%44.4%27

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.11% 49.1% 1264
Tuesday 0.14% 48.8% 1383
Wednesday 0.01% 49.4% 1382
Thursday 0.14% 48.6% 1355
Friday 0.04% 47.9% 1352

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 97.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 3.8%

Founder-led management: Anil K. Singhal (Co-Founder, President, CEO, Chairman of the Board)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings19
Net Value-$674,594
Net Shares Change-86,098
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings9
Clusters Detected3

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Grasso Alfred -$470,582.9 2 N/A
Perretta Christopher -$280,100 1 N/A
SZABADOS MICHAEL -$270,320 2 N/A
Munshi Sanjay Chief Operating Officer -$189,044 3 N/A
DOWNING JOHN EVP, World-Wide Sales -$177,540 2 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-08-12 – 2025-08-26 3 3 -$232,945 1 C-suite
2026-02-20 – 2026-02-23 4 3 -$352,620 3 C-suite
2026-05-14 – 2026-05-18 3 3 -$433,174 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-18 Munshi Sanjay Chief Operating Officer -$76,224 Transaction at $38.40, now +7.1%
2026-05-18 SZABADOS MICHAEL -$153,600 Transaction at $38.40, now +7.1%
2026-05-14 Grasso Alfred -$203,350 Transaction at $40.67, now +1.1%
2026-02-20 Munshi Sanjay Chief Operating Officer -$58,360 Transaction at $29.18, now +41.0%
2025-12-05 Munshi Sanjay Chief Operating Officer -$54,460 Transaction at $27.23, now +51.0%
2025-12-15 Perretta Christopher -$280,100 Transaction at $28.01, now +46.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for NetScout Systems Inc (NTCT) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for NTCT on Trend Edge →