NSSC — NAPCO Security Technologies Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates NSSC Bullish with a Setup Score of 47, net conviction 36, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score47
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction36
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About NAPCO Security Technologies Inc

Napco Security Technologies, Inc. engages in the development, manufacturing, and sale of electronic security systems for commercial, residential, institutional, industrial, and governmental applications in the United States and internationally. The company's access control systems include various types of identification readers, control panels, PC-based computers, and electronically activated door-locking devices; intrusion and fire alarm systems… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$35.73
Market Cap$1.35B
Float34.4M
Shares Outstanding35.7M
P/E (Forward)24.69
P/E (TTM)36.67
Price/Sales (TTM)6.84
vs. Analyst Target+40.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin18.71%
Operating Margin (TTM)17.81%
Revenue (TTM)$197M
Earnings Growth (YoY)21.40%
Dividend Rate0.6%
Analyst Target Price$50.33 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $101M $7.8M $42.8M $13.4M
2021 $144M $19.6M $59.2M $23.9M
2022 $144M $19.6M $59.2M $23.9M
2023 $170M $27.1M $73.2M $33.2M
2024 $189M $49.8M $102M $58.5M
2025 $182M $43.4M $101M $52.3M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $50.7M $11.6M
Sep 2025 $49.2M $12.2M
Dec 2025 $48.2M $13.5M
Mar 2026 $49.2M -$408,000

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership4.9%
Institutional Ownership104.4%
Short Float8.8%
% of All Funds Holding2.92%
Number of Funds Holding257

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$37.36Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$40.15Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$35.92Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$35.94Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$40.01Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$36.02Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$36.95Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$56.00 resistance 1.23x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (95 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.58% 0.00% 47.37% 4.44% -41.34%
1 Day 0.24% 0.42% 52.63% 11.18% -45.04%
1 Week 0.37% 1.20% 55.79% 20.00% -40.69%
2 Weeks 0.32% 1.10% 57.89% 31.60% -36.84%
1 Month 2.72% 2.31% 61.05% 40.53% -40.12%

Next earnings: November 12, 2026 (77 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.9%55.6%45
Feb6.4%55.6%45
Mar1.3%46.7%45
Apr2.0%48.9%45
May5.5%57.8%45
Jun-0.2%48.9%45
Jul1.4%53.3%45
Aug1.7%45.5%44
Sep-0.6%43.2%44
Oct-2.2%47.7%44
Nov5.5%54.5%44
Dec-0.1%38.6%44

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.08% 38.0% 2125
Tuesday -0.08% 36.5% 2308
Wednesday 0.22% 39.5% 2306
Thursday 0.25% 39.7% 2264
Friday 0.13% 38.4% 2249

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 104.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 4.9%

Founder-led management: Richard L. Soloway (Founder, Chairman, CEO & Secretary)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings3
Net Value-$15.4M
Net Shares Change-354,000
% of Float-1.0%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
SOLOWAY RICHARD CEO, Chairman of Board, Secy -$14.6M 2 2 sell
Spinelli Stephen M Senior Vice president of Sales -$764,750 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-04 SOLOWAY RICHARD CEO, Chairman of Board, Secy -$8.2M Transaction at $44.46, now -19.6%
2026-02-06 SOLOWAY RICHARD CEO, Chairman of Board, Secy -$6.4M Transaction at $42.74, now -16.4%
2025-11-18 Spinelli Stephen M Senior Vice president of Sales -$764,750 Transaction at $40.25, now -11.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for NAPCO Security Technologies Inc (NSSC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for NSSC on Trend Edge →