Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
Trend Edge rates EVLV Bullish with a Setup Score of 25, net conviction 31, actionability 20. How the Setup Score works →
| Total Setup Score | 25 |
|---|---|
| Directional Bias | Bullish |
| Net Conviction | 31 |
| Actionability | 20 (in range) |
Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. develops, manufactures, markets, and sells security screening products and specific services in the United States and internationally. It offers Evolv Express, that is designed to detect firearms, improvised explosive devices, and large tactical knives in unstructured people flows; Evolv eXpedite, an autonomous AI-based weapon detection system for bags being brought to venues by visitors in high clutter environme… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
| Current Price | $5.92 |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | $1.08B |
| Float | 170.6M |
| Shares Outstanding | 179.9M |
| P/E (Forward) | 43.29 |
| Price/Sales (TTM) | 6.89 |
| vs. Analyst Target | +71.0% to analyst PT |
| Profit Margin | -22.75% |
| Operating Margin (TTM) | -18.29% |
| Revenue (TTM) | $160M |
| Dividend Rate | None |
| Analyst Target Price | $10.13 (4 analysts) |
| Year | Revenue | Net Income | Gross Profit | EBITDA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $4.8M | -$27.4M | $1.3M | -$25.9M |
| 2021 | $23.4M | -$10.9M | $4.0M | -$1.9M |
| 2022 | $52.7M | -$86.8M | $1.4M | -$80.6M |
| 2023 | $80.4M | -$106M | $33.8M | -$95.6M |
| 2024 | $104M | -$54.0M | $59.3M | -$36.6M |
| 2025 | $146M | -$33.1M | $75.3M | -$7.0M |
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 2025 | $32.5M | -$40.5M |
| Sep 2025 | $42.9M | -$1.8M |
| Dec 2025 | $38.5M | $10.9M |
| Mar 2026 | $46.3M | -$5.0M |
| Insider Ownership | 4.3% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | 73.4% |
| Short Float | 4.7% |
| % of All Funds Holding | 2.93% |
| Number of Funds Holding | 241 |
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
| Timeframe | SMA | Value | Trend Context |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weekly | 10-Week SMA | $6.07 | Near-term / short-term trend |
| Weekly | 40-Week SMA | $6.36 | Medium-term trend |
| Weekly | 80-Week SMA | $5.80 | Cyclical trend (business cycle) |
| Weekly | 200-Week SMA | $4.67 | Secular trend (multi-year) |
| Monthly | 10-Month SMA | $6.42 | Near-term monthly trend |
| Monthly | 20-Month SMA | $5.86 | Medium-term monthly trend |
| Monthly | 40-Month SMA | $5.12 | Secular monthly trend |
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
| Price Level | Type | Volume Ratio | Age |
|---|---|---|---|
| $7.70 | resistance | 1.08x | 7 months ago |
| $4.40 | support | 2.25x | 13 months ago |
| $3.10 | support | 1.06x | 14 months ago |
| $2.30 | support | 1.36x | 19 months ago |
| Timeframe | Avg Return | Median | Win Rate | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gap | 1.27% | 2.94% | 68.18% | 13.64% | -31.51% |
| 1 Day | 2.39% | 3.13% | 63.64% | 32.58% | -43.14% |
| 1 Week | 3.15% | 1.36% | 68.18% | 40.15% | -35.79% |
| 2 Weeks | 6.49% | 1.03% | 59.09% | 68.93% | -26.30% |
| 1 Month | 7.66% | 3.15% | 72.73% | 76.27% | -37.50% |
Next earnings: August 13, 2026 (32 days away)
Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).
| Day | Avg Return | Win Rate | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 0.13% | 45.0% | 271 |
| Tuesday | -0.05% | 45.7% | 300 |
| Wednesday | -0.19% | 42.5% | 299 |
| Thursday | 0.58% | 49.1% | 291 |
| Friday | 0.05% | 44.5% | 290 |
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 73.4%
Total insider ownership: 4.3%
Founder-led management: Anil Chitkara (Founder and Chief Growth Officer)
| Total Filings | 21 |
|---|---|
| Net Value | -$5.1M |
| Net Shares Change | -1,026,435 |
| % of Float | -0.6% |
| C-Suite Filings | 8 |
| Clusters Detected | 1 |
| Name | Title | Net Value | Filings | Activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gates Frontier, LLC | -$11.9M | 1 | 1 sell | |
| Kedzierski John | President & CEO | -$475,203.66 | 2 | 1 buy, 1 sell |
| Ellenbogen Michael | -$430,318.47 | 1 | 1 sell | |
| Marshall Robert E | Chief Revenue Officer | -$382,738.95 | 2 | 1 buy, 1 sell |
| Kutsor George C | Chief Financial Officer | -$374,026.96 | 1 | 1 sell |
| Chitkara Anil | Founder & Chief Growth Officer | -$330,447.3 | 1 | 1 sell |
| Shapiro Richard A | +$278,126 | 1 | 2 buy | |
| Charlton Kevin M. | +$85,195.5 | 1 | 1 buy |
| Period | Filings | Insiders | Net Value | Seniority |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-18 – 2025-11-25 | 5 | 5 | +$4,079.3 | 2 C-suite |
| Date | Insider | Title | Net Value | Price After |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-03 | Marshall Robert E | Chief Revenue Officer | -$425,158.95 | Transaction at $6.85, now -13.6% |
| 2026-05-05 | Kutsor George C | Chief Financial Officer | -$374,026.96 | Transaction at $7.27, now -18.6% |
| 2025-11-20 | Shapiro Richard A | +$278,126 | Transaction at $6.01, now -1.5% | |
| 2025-11-25 | Marshall Robert E | Chief Revenue Officer | +$42,420 | Transaction at $6.06, now -2.3% |
| 2025-11-24 | Kedzierski John | President & CEO | +$47,280 | Transaction at $5.91, now +0.2% |
| 2026-03-03 | Chitkara Anil | Founder & Chief Growth Officer | -$330,447.3 | Transaction at $5.19, now +14.1% |
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Evolv Technologies Holdings Inc (EVLV) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.
Get the full AI Consult analysis for EVLV on Trend Edge →