EVLV — Evolv Technologies Holdings Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Evolv Technologies Holdings Inc

Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. develops, manufactures, markets, and sells security screening products and specific services in the United States and internationally. It offers Evolv Express, that is designed to detect firearms, improvised explosive devices, and large tactical knives in unstructured people flows; Evolv eXpedite, an autonomous AI-based weapon detection system for bags being brought to venues by visitors in high clutter environme… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$6.31
Market Cap$1.08B
Float170.8M
Shares Outstanding179.9M
P/E (Forward)43.29
Price/Sales (TTM)6.77
vs. Analyst Target+60.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-22.75%
Operating Margin (TTM)-18.29%
Revenue (TTM)$160M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$10.13 (4 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $4.8M -$27.4M $1.3M -$25.9M
2021 $23.4M -$10.9M $4.0M -$1.9M
2022 $52.7M -$86.8M $1.4M -$80.6M
2023 $80.4M -$106M $33.8M -$95.6M
2024 $104M -$54.0M $59.3M -$36.6M
2025 $146M -$33.1M $75.3M -$20.5M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $32.5M -$40.5M
Sep 2025 $42.9M -$1.8M
Dec 2025 $38.5M $10.9M
Mar 2026 $46.3M -$5.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership4.2%
Institutional Ownership72.9%
Short Float4.1%
% of All Funds Holding2.93%
Number of Funds Holding241

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$6.34Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$6.68Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$5.65Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$4.57Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$6.81Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$5.58Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$4.97Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$7.70 resistance 1.08x 5 months ago
$4.40 support 2.25x 11 months ago
$3.10 support 1.06x 12 months ago
$2.30 support 1.36x 17 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (22 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.27% 2.94% 68.18% 13.64% -31.51%
1 Day 2.39% 3.13% 63.64% 32.58% -43.14%
1 Week 3.15% 1.36% 68.18% 40.15% -35.79%
2 Weeks 6.49% 1.03% 59.09% 68.93% -26.30%
1 Month 7.66% 3.15% 72.73% 76.27% -37.50%

Next earnings: August 13, 2026 (77 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.11% 44.5% 265
Tuesday -0.06% 45.8% 295
Wednesday -0.18% 43.0% 293
Thursday 0.59% 49.1% 285
Friday 0.07% 44.8% 286

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 72.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 4.2%

Founder-led management: Anil Chitkara (Founder and Chief Growth Officer)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings19
Net Value-$4.7M
Net Shares Change-1,100,731
% of Float-0.6%
C-Suite Filings7
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Gates Frontier, LLC -$11.9M 1 1 sell
Ellenbogen Michael -$898,350.57 2 1 sell
Kedzierski John President and CEO -$475,203.66 2 1 buy, 1 sell
Kutsor George C Chief Financial Officer -$374,026.96 1 1 sell
Chitkara Anil Founder and Chief Growth Officer -$330,447.3 1 1 sell
Shapiro Richard A +$278,126 1 2 buy
Charlton Kevin M. +$85,195.5 1 1 buy
Marshall Robert E Chief Revenue Officer +$42,420 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-18 – 2025-11-25 5 5 +$4,079.3 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-05 Kutsor George C Chief Financial Officer -$374,026.96 Transaction at $7.27, now -13.2%
2026-03-03 Chitkara Anil Founder and Chief Growth Officer -$330,447.3 Transaction at $5.19, now +21.6%
2025-11-20 Shapiro Richard A +$278,126 Transaction at $6.01, now +5.0%
2026-03-03 Ellenbogen Michael -$430,318.47 Transaction at $5.19, now +21.6%
2025-11-25 Marshall Robert E Chief Revenue Officer +$42,420 Transaction at $6.06, now +4.1%
2025-11-24 Kedzierski John President and CEO +$47,280 Transaction at $5.91, now +6.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Evolv Technologies Holdings Inc (EVLV) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for EVLV on Trend Edge →