NOC — Northrop Grumman Corporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates NOC Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 31, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction31
Actionability0 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Northrop Grumman Corporation

Northrop Grumman Corporation operates as an aerospace and defense technology company in the United States, Asia/Pacific, Europe, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Aeronautics Systems, Defense Systems, Mission Systems and Space Systems. The Aeronautics Systems segment designs, develops, produces, integrates, sustains, and modernizes aircraft systems. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$539.63
Market Cap$75.59B
Float141.6M
Shares Outstanding142.0M
P/E (Forward)19.49
P/E (TTM)16.69
Price/Sales (TTM)1.78
vs. Analyst Target+27.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin10.80%
Operating Margin (TTM)11.69%
Revenue (TTM)$42.37B
Earnings Growth (YoY)84.90%
Dividend Rate9.4%
Analyst Target Price$687.14 (25 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $36.80B $3.19B $7.48B $5.59B
2021 $35.67B $7.00B $7.27B $8.73B
2022 $36.60B $4.90B $7.47B $7.68B
2023 $39.29B $2.06B $39.29B $2.54B
2024 $41.03B $4.17B $8.36B $6.84B
2025 $41.95B $4.18B $8.31B $7.21B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $10.35B $1.17B
Sep 2025 $10.42B $1.10B
Dec 2025 $11.71B $1.43B
Mar 2026 $9.88B $875M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.2%
Institutional Ownership84.3%
Short Float1.5%
% of All Funds Holding21.41%
Number of Funds Holding1,760

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$541.44Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$612.71Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$563.78Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$509.27Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$601.69Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$559.72Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$514.31Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$559.00 resistance 1.31x 0 months ago
$745.00 resistance 1.10x 3 months ago
$467.00 support 1.33x 15 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (121 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.02% 0.00% 49.59% 3.43% -9.13%
1 Day 0.01% 0.14% 52.07% 6.04% -11.75%
1 Week 0.19% 0.00% 49.59% 9.74% -14.70%
2 Weeks 0.64% 1.01% 58.68% 10.74% -23.18%
1 Month 1.02% 1.58% 61.67% 21.23% -33.31%

Next earnings: July 21, 2026 (9 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.2%51.1%45
Feb2.2%66.7%45
Mar1.6%57.8%45
Apr2.2%60.0%45
May1.0%66.7%45
Jun0.3%53.3%45
Jul2.8%65.9%44
Aug1.2%65.9%44
Sep0.2%52.3%44
Oct-0.6%45.5%44
Nov-0.5%47.7%44
Dec1.7%59.1%44

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.05% 49.7% 2118
Tuesday 0.03% 48.8% 2301
Wednesday 0.07% 49.4% 2298
Thursday 0.06% 48.9% 2256
Friday 0.06% 50.1% 2242

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 84.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings17
Net Value-$27.7M
Net Shares Change-37,701
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings14
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Warden Kathy J Chair, CEO and President -$20.2M 2 1 sell
Davies Benjamin R. CVP & Pres. Defense Systems -$1.7M 1 1 sell
Hardesty Michael A Corp VP, Controller & CAO -$1.3M 3 3 sell
ROEDER ROSHAN S CVP & Pres. Mission Systems -$1.3M 1 N/A
Simpson Kathryn G Corp VP & General Counsel -$791,543.28 2 N/A
WELSH MARK A III -$54,309.743 1 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-03 – 2026-02-17 3 3 -$14.8M 2 C-suite
2026-02-19 – 2026-03-03 9 4 -$6.5M 9 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-02-10 Warden Kathy J Chair, CEO and President -$14.2M Transaction at $708.82, now -23.9%
2026-02-19 Davies Benjamin R. CVP & Pres. Defense Systems -$1.7M Transaction at $710.37, now -24.0%
2026-02-20 Hardesty Michael A Corp VP, Controller & CAO -$107,748.06 Transaction at $732.98, now -26.4%
2026-02-19 Hardesty Michael A Corp VP, Controller & CAO -$671,981.202 Transaction at $700.88, now -23.0%
2026-02-17 Hardesty Michael A Corp VP, Controller & CAO -$550,410.57 Transaction at $702.43, now -23.2%
2026-03-02 ROEDER ROSHAN S CVP & Pres. Mission Systems -$1.3M Transaction at $720.00, now -25.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for NOC on Trend Edge →