NMRK — Newmark Group Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates NMRK Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 23, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction23
Actionability0 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Newmark Group Inc

Newmark Group, Inc. operates as a commercial real estate advisor and service provider in the United States, the United Kingdom, Asia, rest of Europe, and other Americas. The company offers capital markets services consisting of investment sales, including placement and raising of equity; and commercial mortgage brokerage, such as government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) and federal housing administration (FHA) lending, as well as the placement of … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$15.20
Market Cap$3.82B
Float150.1M
Shares Outstanding156.2M
P/E (Forward)5.74
P/E (TTM)18.94
Price/Sales (TTM)1.10
vs. Analyst Target+27.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin4.30%
Operating Margin (TTM)3.45%
Revenue (TTM)$3.48B
Earnings Growth (YoY)146.90%
Dividend Rate0.2%
Analyst Target Price$19.42 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.90B $80.1M $1.90B $304M
2021 $2.91B $751M $2.91B $1.38B
2022 $2.71B $83.3M $2.71B $351M
2023 $2.47B $42.6M $2.47B $291M
2024 $2.74B $61.2M $2.74B $337M
2025 $3.34B $126M $3.16B $415M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $759M $20.8M
Sep 2025 $863M $46.2M
Dec 2025 $1.01B $68.0M
Mar 2026 $847M $14.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership4.8%
Institutional Ownership75.4%
Short Float4.3%
% of All Funds Holding3.42%
Number of Funds Holding281

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$15.05Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$16.10Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$14.90Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$11.66Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$16.03Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$15.01Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$12.47Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$16.30 resistance 1.00x 1 months ago
$17.50 resistance 1.30x 4 months ago
$12.10 support 1.26x 11 months ago
$11.00 support 1.03x 12 months ago
$10.30 support 1.07x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (35 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.48% -0.15% 37.14% 2.79% -7.37%
1 Day -0.23% -1.01% 37.14% 16.43% -7.86%
1 Week 1.33% -0.56% 48.57% 15.88% -7.41%
2 Weeks 0.80% -0.13% 48.57% 18.28% -14.25%
1 Month 1.29% 0.52% 58.82% 56.27% -78.80%

Next earnings: July 29, 2026 (16 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.1%55.6%9
Feb0.7%44.4%9
Mar-10.5%33.3%9
Apr-5.5%33.3%9
May-1.2%44.4%9
Jun4.3%66.7%9
Jul10.0%75.0%8
Aug1.7%62.5%8
Sep-2.7%50.0%8
Oct-0.0%50.0%8
Nov14.3%75.0%8
Dec3.6%50.0%8

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.08% 49.0% 402
Tuesday 0.09% 49.2% 443
Wednesday 0.07% 50.3% 439
Thursday 0.37% 51.6% 432
Friday -0.12% 44.0% 430

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 75.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 4.8%

Founder-led management: Barry Gosin (Chief Executive Officer)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value-$873,154.65
Net Shares Change-24,614,375
% of Float-16.4%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
LUTNICK HOWARD W -$1.6M 1 2 sell
MERKEL STEPHEN M Chairman of the Board & CLO -$873,154.65 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-10-06 LUTNICK HOWARD W -$1.6M Transaction at $11.56, now +31.5%
2026-02-26 MERKEL STEPHEN M Chairman of the Board & CLO -$873,154.65 Transaction at $14.65, now +3.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Newmark Group Inc (NMRK) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for NMRK on Trend Edge →