NEXA — Nexa Resources SA

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Nexa Resources SA

Nexa Resources S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the zinc mining and smelting business worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Mining and Smelting. It produces metallic zinc, zamac, gold, sulfuric acid and zinc oxide, as well as by-products, such as sulfuric acid, silver concentrate, copper cement, copper sulfate, lead concentrate, lead-silver concentrate, and other metallurgical by-products. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$14.51
Market Cap$1.90B
Float46.8M
Shares Outstanding132.4M
P/E (Forward)3.45
P/E (TTM)9.09
Price/Sales (TTM)0.58
vs. Analyst Target-18.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin6.44%
Operating Margin (TTM)23.91%
Revenue (TTM)$3.26B
Earnings Growth (YoY)653.70%
Dividend Rate0.1%
Analyst Target Price$11.88 (8 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.95B -$559M $375M -$305M
2021 $2.62B $114M $633M $698M
2022 $3.03B $49.7M $640M $672M
2023 $2.57B -$292M $299M $205M
2024 $2.77B -$205M $538M $609M
2025 $2.99B $133M $535M $767M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $708M $1.1M
Sep 2025 $752M $69.3M
Dec 2025 $896M $50.4M
Mar 2026 $888M $89.3M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership66.5%
Institutional Ownership34.9%
Short Float0.9%
% of All Funds Holding0.68%
Number of Funds Holding56

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$13.71Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$9.59Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$7.72Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$6.91Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$9.80Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$8.04Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$7.25Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$11.00 support 3.29x 0 months ago
$9.00 support 4.36x 3 months ago
$7.20 support 5.55x 4 months ago
$6.00 support 3.89x 5 months ago
$5.00 support 3.04x 6 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (35 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.44% 0.18% 54.29% 6.99% -13.70%
1 Day -0.95% -1.43% 42.86% 13.56% -19.93%
1 Week -2.03% -2.43% 40.00% 16.48% -17.92%
2 Weeks -0.91% -1.70% 42.86% 22.11% -19.18%
1 Month -0.24% -3.58% 41.18% 33.03% -53.31%

Next earnings: July 25, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.0%55.6%9
Feb-1.2%33.3%9
Mar-2.6%66.7%9
Apr5.6%55.6%9
May-7.0%25.0%8
Jun-2.3%25.0%8
Jul-0.4%37.5%8
Aug3.0%50.0%8
Sep-4.0%50.0%8
Oct6.8%62.5%8
Nov3.4%44.4%9
Dec11.4%77.8%9

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.11% 50.4% 403
Tuesday 0.34% 49.0% 445
Wednesday 0.00% 50.0% 440
Thursday -0.15% 48.4% 432
Friday -0.01% 47.8% 433

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 34.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 66.5%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Nexa Resources SA (NEXA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for NEXA on Trend Edge →