NEGG — Newegg Commerce Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates NEGG Bearish with a Setup Score of 34, net conviction 53, actionability 22. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score34
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction53
Actionability22 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Newegg Commerce Inc

Newegg Commerce, Inc. operates as an electronics-focused e-retailer in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company sells desktops, laptops, gaming laptops, peripherals, and accessories; CPU/processors, graphic cards, motherboards, storage devices, and computer accessories; and software, virtual reality, gaming consoles, networking, digital games, home appliances, gaming desks/chairs, and TVs. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$14.15
Market Cap$310M
Float1.4M
Shares Outstanding21.0M
P/E (TTM)56.81
Price/Sales (TTM)0.22
vs. Analyst Target-78.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin0.39%
Operating Margin (TTM)2.41%
Revenue (TTM)$1.40B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-40.60%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$3.00

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.11B $30.4M $274M $38.9M
2021 $2.38B $36.3M $326M $41.9M
2022 $1.72B -$57.4M $217M -$31.6M
2023 $1.50B -$59.0M $168M -$45.7M
2024 $1.24B -$43.3M $121M -$33.0M
2025 $1.44B -$4.9M $168M $5.7M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2024 $309M -$9.2M
Mar 2025 $347M -$2.5M
Jun 2025 $348M -$1.7M
Mar 2026 $306M $7.8M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership95.0%
Institutional Ownership0.6%
Short Float20.0%
% of All Funds Holding0.18%
Number of Funds Holding15

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$18.36Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$44.53Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$33.88Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$27.18Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$43.07Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$31.67Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$25.21Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$4.90 support 6.78x 12 months ago
$3.70 support 4.85x 13 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (45 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.70% -1.01% 26.67% 14.94% -13.33%
1 Day -2.79% -2.50% 20.00% 5.13% -14.44%
1 Week -5.81% -4.91% 22.22% 97.56% -63.78%
2 Weeks -5.32% -4.70% 31.11% 68.29% -66.22%
1 Month 9.28% -5.56% 33.33% 627.50% -61.25%

Next earnings: July 28, 2026 (15 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan56.5%68.8%16
Feb4.5%43.8%16
Mar-8.3%37.5%16
Apr-4.9%31.3%16
May-10.4%35.3%17
Jun18.4%41.2%17
Jul15.1%31.3%16
Aug-9.8%25.0%16
Sep-4.2%43.8%16
Oct7.0%37.5%16
Nov8.6%43.8%16
Dec-12.4%25.0%16

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.40% 41.0% 763
Tuesday -0.28% 39.7% 838
Wednesday 0.14% 39.3% 835
Thursday 0.36% 42.7% 820
Friday 0.20% 41.4% 818

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 0.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 95.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings18
Net Value-$1,224.09
Net Shares Change958,822
% of Float69.7%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Galkin Vladimir +$33.9M 3 3 buy
CHANG FRED FACHING -$7.7M 7 7 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-20 CHANG FRED FACHING -$3.7M Transaction at $24.24, now -41.6%
2026-05-01 CHANG FRED FACHING -$1.2M Transaction at $34.28, now -58.7%
2026-06-03 CHANG FRED FACHING -$640,127.072 Transaction at $19.87, now -28.8%
2026-06-01 CHANG FRED FACHING -$354,180 Transaction at $17.71, now -20.1%
2026-05-28 CHANG FRED FACHING -$392,300 Transaction at $19.61, now -27.9%
2026-05-26 CHANG FRED FACHING -$589,389 Transaction at $19.65, now -28.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Newegg Commerce Inc (NEGG) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for NEGG on Trend Edge →