NATL — NCR Atleos Corporation

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About NCR Atleos Corporation

NCR Atleos Corporation, a financial technology company, engages in the provision of self-directed banking solutions to financial institutions, merchants, manufacturers, retailers, and consumers in the United States, rest of the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through three segments: Self-Service Banking; Network; and Telecommunications & Technology (T&T). Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$45.10
Market Cap$3.31B
Float73.3M
Shares Outstanding73.8M
P/E (Forward)9.43
P/E (TTM)20.01
Price/Sales (TTM)0.75
vs. Analyst Target+11.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin3.85%
Operating Margin (TTM)9.01%
Revenue (TTM)$4.42B
Earnings Growth (YoY)52.60%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$50.27 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.99B $191M $670M $279M
2021 $3.55B $186M $892M $459M
2022 $4.13B $108M $919M $447M
2023 $4.19B -$134M $933M $451M
2024 $4.32B $91.0M $1.03B $449M
2025 $4.35B $162M $1.06B $736M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.10B $45.0M
Sep 2025 $1.12B $26.0M
Dec 2025 $1.15B $83.0M
Mar 2026 $1.04B $22.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.3%
Institutional Ownership96.1%
Short Float2.9%
% of All Funds Holding4.09%
Number of Funds Holding336

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$44.42Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$40.50Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$35.18Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$40.56Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$34.94Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$0.00Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$37.30 support 1.43x 2 months ago
$30.40 support 1.68x 8 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (11 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.27% 3.06% 63.64% 8.84% -8.96%
1 Day 1.52% 1.25% 54.55% 15.02% -7.48%
1 Week 2.46% -2.36% 45.45% 24.79% -6.94%
2 Weeks 2.06% 0.09% 54.55% 20.93% -11.89%
1 Month 3.89% -2.20% 40.00% 25.85% -9.13%

Next earnings: July 25, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.13% 46.8% 124
Tuesday 0.08% 44.5% 137
Wednesday 0.25% 58.6% 133
Thursday 0.15% 52.7% 129
Friday 0.08% 55.6% 133

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 96.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value-$3.3M
Net Shares Change-8,786
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
OLIVER TIMOTHY CHARLES President and CEO -$3.3M 1 1 sell
Frymire Michelle M -$307,685.72 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-11-21 Frymire Michelle M -$307,685.72 Transaction at $35.02, now +28.8%
2025-11-13 OLIVER TIMOTHY CHARLES President and CEO -$3.3M Transaction at $29.60, now +52.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for NCR Atleos Corporation (NATL) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for NATL on Trend Edge →