NAKA — Nakamoto Inc.

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates NAKA Bearish with a Setup Score of 50, net conviction 21, actionability 117. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score50
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction21
Actionability117 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Nakamoto Inc.

Nakamoto Inc. develops and invests in a global portfolio of Bitcoin-native companies. It offers commercial and financial infrastructure for the capital markets. The company was formerly known as Kindly MD, Inc. and change its name to Nakamoto Inc. in January 2026. Nakamoto Inc. was incorporated in 2019 and is based in Nashville, Tennessee. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$4.52
Market Cap$77.8M
Float10.8M
Shares Outstanding17.4M
Price/Sales (TTM)27.31
Operating Margin (TTM)-1049.84%
Revenue (TTM)$2.8M
Dividend RateNone

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $2.5M $149,336 $914,922 $124,737
2022 $3.8M -$2.5M $3.6M -$2.4M
2023 $3.8M -$1.6M $3.5M -$1.4M
2024 $2.7M -$3.6M -$842,565 -$3.0M
2025 $1.8M -$52.2M -$9.3M -$44.9M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $408,527 -$2.4M
Sep 2025 $388,209 -$86.0M
Dec 2025 $444,924 $37.3M
Mar 2026 $2.7M -$239M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership39.5%
Institutional Ownership18.6%
Short Float9.2%

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$6.83Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$17.31Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$135.48Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$16.47Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$124.20Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$0.00Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$35.20 resistance 1.51x 6 months ago
$209.00 resistance 5.23x 8 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (8 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.57% 0.00% 37.50% 4.10% -8.42%
1 Day -5.28% -2.80% 50.00% 5.24% -22.27%
1 Week 24.33% -4.15% 37.50% 242.59% -24.74%
2 Weeks 50.66% -8.83% 37.50% 498.94% -64.69%
1 Month 33.52% -5.71% 14.29% 385.19% -75.59%

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 1.90% 39.8% 98
Tuesday -0.45% 40.6% 106
Wednesday 0.87% 41.7% 103
Thursday -0.28% 37.4% 99
Friday -0.39% 42.7% 103

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 18.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 39.5%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Nakamoto Inc. (NAKA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for NAKA on Trend Edge →