MTSI — MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates MTSI Bullish with a Setup Score of 67, net conviction 50, actionability 90. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score67
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction50
Actionability90 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Inc

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides analog semiconductor solutions for use in wireless and wireline applications across the radio frequency (RF), microwave, millimeter wave, and lightwave spectrum. The company offers a portfolio of standard and custom devices, including integrated circuits, multi-chip modules, diodes, amplifiers, switches and switch limiters, passive and active components, and subsy… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$266.27
Market Cap$20.33B
Float71.3M
Shares Outstanding76.4M
P/E (Forward)31.55
P/E (TTM)86.14
Price/Sales (TTM)17.46
vs. Analyst Target+50.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin20.70%
Operating Margin (TTM)23.34%
Revenue (TTM)$1.16B
Earnings Growth (YoY)166.70%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$399.64 (16 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $530M -$46.1M $237M $64.6M
2021 $607M $38.0M $311M $133M
2022 $675M $440M $381M $305M
2023 $648M $91.6M $362M $180M
2024 $730M $76.9M $371M $164M
2025 $967M -$54.2M $531M $39.8M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $261M $45.1M
Dec 2025 $272M $48.8M
Mar 2026 $289M $46.3M
Jun 2026 $342M $101M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership9.1%
Institutional Ownership97.6%
Short Float3.5%
% of All Funds Holding7.36%
Number of Funds Holding647

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$294.59Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$265.75Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$196.00Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$132.11Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$257.99Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$191.73Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$143.12Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$368.00 resistance 1.26x 0 months ago
$218.00 support 1.28x 5 months ago
$175.00 support 1.53x 6 months ago
$150.00 support 1.17x 8 months ago
$125.00 support 1.24x 9 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (58 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.07% 0.33% 55.17% 16.38% -21.96%
1 Day -0.61% -0.09% 50.00% 19.63% -36.73%
1 Week 0.79% 1.06% 58.62% 28.54% -35.80%
2 Weeks 0.88% 1.53% 62.07% 31.74% -31.67%
1 Month 4.07% 3.75% 70.18% 39.25% -33.51%

Next earnings: October 25, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.6%71.4%14
Feb-1.8%42.9%14
Mar-2.2%42.9%14
Apr-0.6%40.0%15
May8.4%73.3%15
Jun5.0%80.0%15
Jul2.3%46.7%15
Aug-2.5%50.0%14
Sep-0.3%42.9%14
Oct0.2%64.3%14
Nov12.7%85.7%14
Dec4.4%57.1%14

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.19% 55.2% 683
Tuesday 0.07% 52.5% 746
Wednesday 0.10% 53.0% 743
Thursday 0.21% 53.2% 730
Friday 0.03% 50.5% 728

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 97.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 9.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings45
Net Value-$41.2M
Net Shares Change-3,130,668
% of Float-4.4%
C-Suite Filings19
Clusters Detected6

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
OCAMPO SUSAN -$80.0M 1 1 sell
CHUNG PETER Y -$16.4M 1 1 sell
Daly Stephen G President and CEO -$5.8M 1 N/A
Kober John Senior VP and CFO -$2.4M 1 N/A
RIBAR GEOFFREY G -$1.2M 2 2 sell
BLAND CHARLES R -$1.1M 3 3 sell
Ritchie John -$401,115 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-10 – 2025-11-21 7 6 -$47.2M 5 C-suite
2025-11-26 – 2025-12-09 6 4 -$61.0M 2 C-suite
2026-02-04 – 2026-02-17 5 3 -$77.0M 1 C-suite
2026-02-19 – 2026-03-02 6 5 -$108M 2 C-suite
2026-05-04 – 2026-05-18 4 4 -$18.3M 1 C-suite
2026-05-20 – 2026-06-02 3 3 -$9.5M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-19 Kober John Senior VP and CFO -$2.4M Transaction at $326.08, now -18.3%
2026-05-18 CHUNG PETER Y -$16.4M Transaction at $378.20, now -29.6%
2026-05-13 RIBAR GEOFFREY G -$587,266.32 Transaction at $361.84, now -26.4%
2026-02-27 Ritchie John -$401,115 Transaction at $255.00, now +4.4%
2026-02-27 RIBAR GEOFFREY G -$569,055.96 Transaction at $253.59, now +5.0%
2026-06-02 Daly Stephen G President and CEO -$5.8M Transaction at $365.75, now -27.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Inc (MTSI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MTSI on Trend Edge →