MRX — Marex Group plc Ordinary Shares

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates MRX Bullish with a Setup Score of 11, net conviction 31, actionability 4. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score11
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction31
Actionability4 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Marex Group plc Ordinary Shares

Marex Group Limited, a financial services platform company, provides liquidity, market access, and infrastructure services to clients in the commodity and financial markets in the United Kingdom, the United States, and internationally. It operates through Clearing, Agency and Execution, Market Making, and Hedging and Investment Solutions segments. The company offers execution and clearing services in metals, agricultural products, energy and fixe… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$72.12
Market Cap$4.62B
Float66.2M
Shares Outstanding71.9M
P/E (Forward)8.76
P/E (TTM)14.26
Price/Sales (TTM)1.22
vs. Analyst Target+10.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin12.21%
Operating Margin (TTM)17.16%
Revenue (TTM)$3.49B
Earnings Growth (YoY)105.30%
Dividend Rate0.6%
Analyst Target Price$79.88 (8 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $758M $43.8M $758M $8.5M
2021 $852M $56.5M $825M $107M
2022 $1.18B $91.6M $862M $284M
2023 $2.35B $128M $1.69B $705M
2024 $2.89B $218M $1.29B $866M
2025 $3.63B $308M $2.71B $1.21B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $485M $73.2M
Dec 2025 $3.13B $232M
Mar 2026 $1.33B $112M
Jun 2026 $2.03B $268M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership6.7%
Institutional Ownership80.7%
Short Float4.5%
% of All Funds Holding2.42%
Number of Funds Holding213

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$66.02Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$50.32Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$43.53Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$50.49Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$43.87Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$0.00Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$54.00 support 1.25x 1 months ago
$43.00 support 1.25x 3 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (10 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.13% 0.66% 80.00% 2.23% -6.22%
1 Day -0.56% 0.12% 50.00% 4.94% -4.82%
1 Week -2.24% -1.77% 40.00% 7.89% -13.63%
2 Weeks -0.58% 0.20% 55.56% 6.38% -12.04%
1 Month 7.82% 9.35% 88.89% 19.64% -8.51%

Next earnings: October 31, 2026 (64 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.07% 52.2% 113
Tuesday 0.40% 54.5% 121
Wednesday 0.94% 55.9% 118
Thursday -0.02% 49.1% 114
Friday -0.10% 46.2% 117

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 80.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 6.7%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings13
Net Value-$12.6M
Net Shares Change-218,274
% of Float-0.3%
C-Suite Filings13
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Lowitt Ian T Chief Executive Officer -$4.7M 2 N/A
Tonucci Paolo Chief Strategist and CEO, Capital Markets -$4.1M 4 N/A
Texier Thomas Group Head of Clearing -$1.5M 3 N/A
Irvin Rob Chief Financial Officer -$262,545.34 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-04-02 – 2026-04-15 3 3 -$2.1M 3 C-suite
2026-06-03 – 2026-06-16 3 3 -$3.4M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-18 Irvin Rob Chief Financial Officer -$262,545.34 Transaction at $70.96, now +1.6%
2026-05-05 Texier Thomas Group Head of Clearing -$764,486.73 Transaction at $52.99, now +36.1%
2026-04-02 Texier Thomas Group Head of Clearing -$627,715.885 Transaction at $43.51, now +65.8%
2026-08-12 Tonucci Paolo Chief Strategist and CEO, Capital Markets -$1.0M Transaction at $60.92, now +18.4%
2026-07-15 Tonucci Paolo Chief Strategist and CEO, Capital Markets -$1.1M Transaction at $64.42, now +12.0%
2026-07-15 Lowitt Ian T Chief Executive Officer -$2.4M Transaction at $64.39, now +12.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Marex Group plc Ordinary Shares (MRX) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MRX on Trend Edge →