MRDN — Meridian Holdings Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates MRDN Bearish with a Setup Score of 14, net conviction 25, actionability 8. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score14
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction25
Actionability8 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Meridian Holdings Inc

Meridian Holdings Inc., a business-to-business and business-to-consumer gaming technology company, provides casino, sportsbook, and competition products in Central and South America, Europe, and Africa. It develops and licenses gaming platforms; and provides online sports betting and gaming operations under various brands, including Meridianbet, Expanse Studios, MexPlay, R Kings Competitions, Classics For A Cause, and GMAG. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$11.27
Market Cap$141M
Float2.2M
Shares Outstanding12.7M
P/E (Forward)33.33
Price/Sales (TTM)0.72
Profit Margin-41.41%
Operating Margin (TTM)4.86%
Revenue (TTM)$197M
Dividend RateNone

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $5.2M $398,080 $3.2M $400,936
2021 $60.4M $12.9M $45.8M $18.2M
2022 $36.0M $44,028 $9.2M $609,117
2023 $44.2M -$1.2M $9.9M $4,270
2024 $151M -$1.5M $88.6M $15.5M
2025 $183M -$89.9M $103M -$77.5M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $47.3M $566,014
Dec 2025 $49.6M -$86.6M
Mar 2026 $50.1M $2.3M
Jun 2026 $50.2M $2.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership82.4%
Institutional Ownership4.0%
Short Float2.4%
% of All Funds Holding0.49%
Number of Funds Holding40

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$13.15Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$10.03Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$14.78Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$25.39Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$10.03Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$15.25Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$24.12Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$14.00 resistance 2.06x 0 months ago
$6.70 support 1.34x 3 months ago
$17.60 resistance 1.72x 11 months ago
$72.00 resistance 3.51x 25 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (64 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.06% 0.00% 23.44% 50.00% -28.57%
1 Day -2.11% 0.00% 20.31% 50.00% -57.14%
1 Week -5.23% 0.00% 15.87% 100.00% -85.71%
2 Weeks -4.82% 0.00% 26.98% 100.00% -79.17%
1 Month -0.47% -0.56% 22.22% 200.00% -94.00%

Next earnings: October 17, 2026 (74 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.6%29.4%17
Feb-2.7%29.4%17
Mar11.9%47.1%17
Apr-1.4%29.4%17
May8.0%29.4%17
Jun-10.8%29.4%17
Jul-5.6%12.5%16
Aug1.3%25.0%16
Sep-8.2%18.8%16
Oct10.0%31.3%16
Nov2.2%23.5%17
Dec-14.2%11.8%17

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.62% 22.9% 789
Tuesday 4.96% 26.0% 866
Wednesday 0.97% 24.8% 863
Thursday 1.09% 28.6% 847
Friday 6.55% 28.9% 842

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 4.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 82.4%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Meridian Holdings Inc (MRDN) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MRDN on Trend Edge →