BRSL — Brightstar Lottery PLC

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates BRSL Bearish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 49, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction49
Actionability0 (no mans land)

Key signals behind this score

About Brightstar Lottery PLC

Brightstar Lottery PLC provides lottery solutions in the United States, Italy, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company designs, sells, operates, and leases a suite of point-of-sale machines that reconciles lottery funds between the retailer and the lottery authority; operates and provides lottery transaction processing systems; produces instant ticket games; and offers printing services, such as instant ticket marketing plans and graphic… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$11.47
Market Cap$2.12B
Float94.5M
Shares Outstanding182.7M
P/E (Forward)17.09
P/E (TTM)11.94
Price/Sales (TTM)0.86
Profit Margin10.05%
Operating Margin (TTM)20.72%
Revenue (TTM)$2.47B
Earnings Growth (YoY)48.80%
Dividend Rate0.9%

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $3.12B -$898M $1.14B $136M
2021 $4.09B $482M $1.96B $1.41B
2022 $2.60B $275M $1.20B $1.42B
2023 $2.53B $156M $1.37B $1.12B
2024 $2.51B $348M $1.33B $1.14B
2025 $2.51B $147M $1.27B $882M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $629M $117M
Dec 2025 $668M $61.0M
Mar 2026 $587M $37.0M
Jun 2026 $584M $33.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership48.6%
Institutional Ownership49.4%
Short Float8.4%
% of All Funds Holding2.26%
Number of Funds Holding199

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$11.10Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$12.83Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$14.53Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$20.47Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$12.85Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$14.59Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$19.60Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$10.20 support 1.20x 0 months ago
$13.10 resistance 1.06x 2 months ago
$17.70 resistance 1.12x 16 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (77 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.01% 0.00% 49.35% 9.06% -4.92%
1 Day -0.32% -0.21% 44.16% 16.57% -7.70%
1 Week -0.80% -0.45% 45.45% 33.89% -27.56%
2 Weeks -2.59% -2.31% 35.06% 32.74% -59.20%
1 Month -1.65% -3.17% 40.79% 64.66% -46.72%

Next earnings: October 23, 2026 (57 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.3%36.1%36
Feb1.2%52.8%36
Mar-3.0%38.9%36
Apr3.7%62.2%37
May2.6%51.4%37
Jun-0.4%37.8%37
Jul1.5%62.2%37
Aug1.6%55.6%36
Sep1.4%52.8%36
Oct1.6%50.0%36
Nov3.9%58.3%36
Dec3.1%63.9%36

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.08% 46.2% 1729
Tuesday 0.16% 48.7% 1882
Wednesday 0.07% 48.5% 1879
Thursday 0.08% 49.2% 1845
Friday 0.13% 47.2% 1834

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 49.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 48.6%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Brightstar Lottery PLC (BRSL) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for BRSL on Trend Edge →