MQ — Marqeta Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates MQ Bearish with a Setup Score of 31, net conviction 39, actionability 24. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score31
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction39
Actionability24 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Marqeta Inc

Marqeta, Inc. operates a cloud-based open API platform for card issuing and transaction processing services in the United States. The company's platform also provides processor services, bank and network management, program management, and value added services; card issuing, such as debit, prepaid, credit, virtual, and physical cards; UI/UX; access to a suite of bank account and money movement features, including savings accounts, demand deposit … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$16.31
Market Cap$1.64B
Float90.5M
Shares Outstanding95.9M
P/E (Forward)57.80
P/E (TTM)175.56
Price/Sales (TTM)2.43
vs. Analyst Target+25.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin1.53%
Operating Margin (TTM)2.47%
Revenue (TTM)$677M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$20.50 (17 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $290M -$47.7M $118M -$43.6M
2021 $517M -$164M $232M -$161M
2022 $748M -$185M $320M -$181M
2023 $676M -$223M $330M -$220M
2024 $507M $27.3M $352M $45.5M
2025 $625M -$13.9M $69.7M $13.8M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $163M -$3.6M
Dec 2025 $172M -$1.4M
Mar 2026 $166M $7.8M
Jun 2026 $176M $7.6M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership3.3%
Institutional Ownership57.0%
Short Float4.5%
% of All Funds Holding2.14%
Number of Funds Holding188

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$16.69Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$16.92Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$18.52Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$20.30Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$16.99Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$18.38Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$20.16Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$15.00 support 1.08x 17 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (22 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.61% 2.16% 54.55% 23.21% -34.45%
1 Day -0.16% -0.32% 50.00% 21.08% -42.52%
1 Week -0.59% -1.43% 50.00% 48.42% -30.92%
2 Weeks -0.72% 0.43% 50.00% 66.52% -34.45%
1 Month -2.04% -4.09% 47.62% 33.99% -34.79%

Next earnings: October 23, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.17% 51.0% 243
Tuesday 0.10% 47.8% 270
Wednesday -0.08% 49.3% 268
Thursday -0.19% 43.9% 262
Friday -0.33% 39.9% 263

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 57.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 3.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings29
Net Value-$785,587.47
Net Shares Change-972,592
% of Float-1.1%
C-Suite Filings11
Clusters Detected4

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Pollak Todd Chief Revenue Officer -$316,447.5 1 N/A
Sumner Crystal Chief Administrative Officer and Corporate Secretary -$272,949.95 1 N/A
Paul Elaine -$146,928.798 2 N/A
Cummings Martha -$130,216.289 3 N/A
Linville Judson C +$100,382.706 1 1 buy
Atkinson Najuma -$82,477.33 2 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-12-15 – 2025-12-19 5 4 -$1.5M 1 C-suite
2026-02-18 – 2026-03-02 3 3 +$68,760.332 1 C-suite
2026-04-16 – 2026-04-22 4 4 -$151,711.932 1 C-suite
2026-06-16 – 2026-06-16 4 4 -$186,250.273 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-02 Linville Judson C +$100,382.706 Transaction at $3.93, now +315.5%
2026-06-16 Paul Elaine -$68,906.141 Transaction at $3.80, now +329.6%
2026-06-16 Cummings Martha -$56,332.587 Transaction at $3.80, now +329.4%
2026-07-02 Pollak Todd Chief Revenue Officer -$316,447.5 Transaction at $16.88, now -3.4%
2026-06-16 Atkinson Najuma -$41,355.333 Transaction at $3.80, now +329.4%
2026-04-22 Paul Elaine -$78,022.656 Transaction at $4.47, now +264.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Marqeta Inc (MQ) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MQ on Trend Edge →