MPWR — Monolithic Power Systems Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates MPWR Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 55, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction55
Actionability0 (extended)

Key signals behind this score

About Monolithic Power Systems Inc

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. provides semiconductor-based power electronics solutions in China, Taiwan, South Korea, Southeast Asia, Europe, the United States, Japan, and internationally. The company offers direct current (DC) to DC solutions to convert and control voltages within a range of electronic systems, such as cloud-based and on-premises CPU servers and workstations, AI systems, memory, storage solutions, notebooks, infotainment, power… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$1352.74
Market Cap$67.51B
Float47.3M
Shares Outstanding49.1M
P/E (Forward)54.64
P/E (TTM)94.31
Price/Sales (TTM)22.83
vs. Analyst Target+32.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin22.98%
Operating Margin (TTM)29.99%
Revenue (TTM)$2.96B
Earnings Growth (YoY)39.50%
Dividend Rate8.0%
Analyst Target Price$1789.23 (17 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $844M $164M $466M $186M
2021 $1.21B $242M $685M $301M
2022 $1.79B $438M $1.05B $562M
2023 $1.82B $427M $1.02B $546M
2024 $2.21B $1.79B $1.22B $609M
2025 $2.79B $616M $1.54B $817M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $665M $134M
Sep 2025 $737M $178M
Dec 2025 $751M $170M
Mar 2026 $804M $193M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership3.7%
Institutional Ownership100.9%
Short Float5.0%
% of All Funds Holding12.86%
Number of Funds Holding1,057

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$1488.32Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$1189.07Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$942.92Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$728.32Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$1211.55Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$949.48Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$798.04Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$1530.00 resistance 1.68x 0 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (86 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.27% 1.74% 67.44% 15.08% -13.46%
1 Day 2.36% 2.43% 68.60% 17.04% -17.45%
1 Week 2.64% 2.69% 61.63% 28.03% -17.18%
2 Weeks 2.94% 1.86% 61.63% 32.54% -37.29%
1 Month 4.12% 5.79% 68.24% 38.52% -36.63%

Next earnings: July 30, 2026 (18 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.2%45.5%22
Feb3.9%68.2%22
Mar4.3%63.6%22
Apr5.9%54.5%22
May1.9%68.2%22
Jun1.4%54.5%22
Jul2.4%57.1%21
Aug4.3%61.9%21
Sep-2.1%47.6%21
Oct3.8%47.6%21
Nov0.9%71.4%21
Dec4.9%63.6%22

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.03% 50.0% 1019
Tuesday 0.21% 51.7% 1117
Wednesday 0.20% 52.7% 1117
Thursday 0.16% 53.0% 1095
Friday 0.07% 51.8% 1089

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 100.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 3.7%

Founder-led management: Michael Hsing (Founder, Chairman, President & CEO)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings58
Net Value-$729M
Net Shares Change-677,251
% of Float-1.4%
C-Suite Filings44
Clusters Detected8

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Hsing Michael CEO -$59.3M 1 1 sell
Xiao Deming EVP, Global Operations -$49.6M 1 1 sell
Tseng Saria EVP & General Counsel -$20.8M 2 2 sell
Elmiger Eugen J -$19.0M 1 1 sell
Zhou Jeff -$3.3M 2 2 sell
Sciammas Maurice EVP, WW Sales & Marketing -$649,509.7 1 1 sell
DEAN ROBERT W II Interim CFO -$42,543.44 2 2 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-08-01 – 2025-08-15 5 4 -$50.7M 3 C-suite
2025-08-27 – 2025-09-02 3 3 -$6.0M 1 C-suite
2025-09-18 – 2025-10-01 3 3 -$17.3M 2 C-suite
2025-11-04 – 2025-11-12 4 3 -$77.3M 4 C-suite
2025-11-19 – 2025-12-01 7 4 -$73.9M 5 C-suite
2026-02-02 – 2026-02-13 10 6 -$252M 9 C-suite
2026-05-06 – 2026-05-20 8 7 -$150M 5 C-suite
2026-05-27 – 2026-06-03 5 4 -$21.7M 4 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-08 Xiao Deming EVP, Global Operations -$49.6M Transaction at $1654.55, now -18.2%
2026-05-29 Tseng Saria EVP & General Counsel -$12.9M Transaction at $1700.00, now -20.4%
2026-05-20 Hsing Michael CEO -$59.3M Transaction at $1482.75, now -8.8%
2026-05-27 Tseng Saria EVP & General Counsel -$7.9M Transaction at $1586.43, now -14.7%
2026-05-08 Elmiger Eugen J -$19.0M Transaction at $1584.96, now -14.7%
2026-05-06 Zhou Jeff -$2.4M Transaction at $1607.85, now -15.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MPWR on Trend Edge →