MPAA — Motorcar Parts of America Inc

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates MPAA Bullish with a Setup Score of 32, net conviction 24, actionability 42. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score32
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction24
Actionability42 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Motorcar Parts of America Inc

Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. operates as a supplier of automotive aftermarket non-discretionary replacement parts and test solutions and diagnostic equipment in the United States. It operates through three segments: Hard Parts, Test Solutions and Diagnostic Equipment, and Heavy Duty. The company offers light duty rotating electrical products, including alternators and starters; wheel hub assemblies and bearings; and brake-related products comp… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$14.05
Market Cap$263M
Float15.6M
Shares Outstanding18.9M
P/E (Forward)9.29
P/E (TTM)22.44
Price/Sales (TTM)0.34
vs. Analyst Target+32.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin1.57%
Operating Margin (TTM)11.83%
Revenue (TTM)$790M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-18.20%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$18.67 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $541M $21.5M $109M $57.8M
2022 $650M $7.4M $118M $41.6M
2023 $683M -$4.2M $114M $48.9M
2024 $718M -$49.2M $133M $58.6M
2025 $757M -$19.5M $154M $50.3M
2026 $790M $12.4M $160M $66.6M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $188M $3.0M
Sep 2025 $221M -$2.1M
Dec 2025 $168M $1.8M
Mar 2026 $212M $9.7M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership6.2%
Institutional Ownership92.7%
Short Float5.0%
% of All Funds Holding1.24%
Number of Funds Holding102

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$12.99Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$12.72Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$11.79Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$9.90Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$12.81Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$11.78Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$9.52Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$11.10 support 1.36x 0 months ago
$17.00 resistance 1.22x 7 months ago
$10.30 support 1.44x 10 months ago
$9.00 support 1.52x 13 months ago
$6.30 support 1.93x 16 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (108 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.30% 0.03% 50.93% 8.74% -8.96%
1 Day 0.46% 0.00% 48.15% 21.05% -13.92%
1 Week 0.57% -0.41% 47.22% 61.95% -24.89%
2 Weeks 0.60% -0.92% 44.44% 78.62% -30.21%
1 Month 1.28% 0.96% 52.34% 63.99% -35.93%

Next earnings: August 10, 2026 (28 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan11.0%53.1%32
Feb1.7%46.9%32
Mar1.5%59.4%32
Apr-5.2%36.4%33
May-0.4%48.5%33
Jun5.2%57.6%33
Jul-1.0%37.5%32
Aug1.9%53.1%32
Sep4.7%56.3%32
Oct2.7%50.0%32
Nov3.6%56.3%32
Dec-1.8%53.1%32

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.00% 40.0% 1527
Tuesday 0.19% 43.6% 1668
Wednesday 0.00% 41.2% 1666
Thursday 0.06% 42.0% 1635
Friday 0.21% 43.6% 1627

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 92.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 6.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change1,000
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Bryan David +$9,670 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-02-17 Bryan David +$9,670 Transaction at $9.67, now +45.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Motorcar Parts of America Inc (MPAA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MPAA on Trend Edge →