MOGU — MOGU Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About MOGU Inc

MOGU Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates an online fashion and lifestyle platform in the People's Republic of China. The company offers fashion apparel and other lifestyle products, including beauty products and accessories provided by third party merchants, as well as personal care, beauty makeup, food, medical beauty, healthcare, and grocery products; and household supplies. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$2.01
Market Cap$17.3M
Float787.7M
Shares Outstanding7.2M
P/E (TTM)4.82
Price/Sales (TTM)0.12
vs. Analyst Target+1674.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin8.12%
Operating Margin (TTM)-46.57%
Revenue (TTM)$148M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$35.66 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $835M -$2.22B $542M -$349M
2021 $482M -$328M $299M -$84.8M
2022 $337M -$640M $178M -$323M
2023 $232M -$178M $118M -$115M
2024 $160M -$59.3M $69.2M -$51.4M
2025 $141M -$62.6M $56.5M -$43.7M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2024 $30.9M -$12.1M
Sep 2024 $30.9M -$12.1M
Dec 2024 $39.7M -$19.2M
Jun 2025 $39.7M -$19.2M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership15.8%
Institutional Ownership21.6%
Short Float0.0%
% of All Funds Holding0.06%
Number of Funds Holding5

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$2.28Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$2.60Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$2.42Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$2.32Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$2.48Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$2.33Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$2.29Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$1.90 support 1.76x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (28 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.56% 0.00% 39.29% 7.22% -15.29%
1 Day -0.48% 0.04% 50.00% 11.11% -20.38%
1 Week -0.08% -0.13% 46.43% 27.18% -22.19%
2 Weeks -0.48% -2.59% 42.86% 35.90% -27.71%
1 Month -1.73% -2.61% 42.86% 52.09% -39.79%

Next earnings: February 26, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.7%50.0%8
Feb-5.0%25.0%8
Mar-5.8%12.5%8
Apr-13.9%37.5%8
May-1.0%71.4%7
Jun0.2%42.9%7
Jul2.1%28.6%7
Aug-7.4%14.3%7
Sep12.5%71.4%7
Oct-5.0%57.1%7
Nov-6.5%28.6%7
Dec-9.5%14.3%7

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.73% 36.2% 351
Tuesday 0.74% 46.8% 387
Wednesday -0.51% 42.4% 384
Thursday 0.28% 44.9% 376
Friday -0.03% 43.0% 377

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 21.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 15.8%

Founder-led management: Qi Chen (Founder & Chairman of the Board of Directors)

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for MOGU Inc (MOGU) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MOGU on Trend Edge →