MNRO — Monro Muffler Brake Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates MNRO Bearish with a Setup Score of 18, net conviction 37, actionability 9. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score18
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction37
Actionability9 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Monro Muffler Brake Inc

Monro, Inc. engages in the operation of retail tire and automotive repair stores in the United States. The company offers replacement tires and tire related services; automotive undercar repair services; and routine maintenance services primarily to passenger cars, light trucks, and vans. It also provides other products and services for brakes; mufflers and exhaust systems; and steering, drive train, suspension, and wheel alignment. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$12.86
Market Cap$374M
Float29.4M
Shares Outstanding31.3M
P/E (Forward)66.23
P/E (TTM)54.36
Price/Sales (TTM)0.33
vs. Analyst Target+71.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin0.71%
Operating Margin (TTM)0.75%
Revenue (TTM)$1.14B
Earnings Growth (YoY)161.30%
Dividend Rate1.1%
Analyst Target Price$22.00 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $1.13B $34.3M $395M $150M
2022 $1.36B $61.6M $482M $183M
2023 $1.33B $39.0M $456M $157M
2024 $1.28B $37.6M $452M $144M
2025 $1.20B -$5.2M $418M $82.4M
2026 $1.16B $2.2M $405M $82.0M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $289M $5.7M
Dec 2025 $293M $11.1M
Mar 2026 $274M -$6.6M
Jun 2026 $287M -$2.1M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership5.6%
Institutional Ownership115.5%
Short Float22.6%
% of All Funds Holding2.02%
Number of Funds Holding178

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$14.69Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$17.50Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$16.76Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$26.92Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$17.13Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$16.53Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$23.29Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$17.00 resistance 1.06x 0 months ago
$21.10 resistance 1.02x 4 months ago
$25.00 resistance 1.31x 18 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (121 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.15% 0.08% 52.07% 3.08% -3.48%
1 Day 0.21% 0.09% 50.41% 7.88% -5.84%
1 Week 1.44% 1.04% 57.85% 19.95% -15.19%
2 Weeks 0.85% 0.41% 53.72% 21.73% -19.83%
1 Month 0.97% 0.95% 55.83% 26.17% -24.05%

Next earnings: October 17, 2026 (53 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.5%62.9%35
Feb1.0%57.1%35
Mar-1.2%51.4%35
Apr0.5%42.9%35
May2.9%57.1%35
Jun-0.2%48.6%35
Jul-0.7%45.7%35
Aug-0.5%57.1%35
Sep-0.2%51.4%35
Oct-0.3%48.6%35
Nov2.4%60.0%35
Dec0.7%48.6%35

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.02% 46.2% 1662
Tuesday 0.06% 45.1% 1813
Wednesday 0.05% 45.6% 1810
Thursday 0.03% 45.8% 1777
Friday 0.11% 46.4% 1766

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 115.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 5.6%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value+$501,896.58
Net Shares Change2,489,476
% of Float8.5%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
ICAHN CARL C +$20.8M 2 2 buy
FITZSIMMONS PETER D President and CEO +$501,896.58 2 2 buy
SOLOMON PETER J +N/A 1 2 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-23 SOLOMON PETER J +N/A N/A
2026-02-09 FITZSIMMONS PETER D President and CEO +$250,879.2 Transaction at $19.68, now -34.6%
2026-02-05 FITZSIMMONS PETER D President and CEO +$251,017.38 Transaction at $18.80, now -31.6%
2025-11-07 ICAHN CARL C +$11.1M Transaction at $17.38, now -26.0%
2025-11-05 ICAHN CARL C +$9.7M Transaction at $15.19, now -15.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Monro Muffler Brake Inc (MNRO) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MNRO on Trend Edge →