MKTX — MarketAxess Holdings Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates MKTX Bearish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 38, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction38
Actionability0 (no mans land)

Key signals behind this score

About MarketAxess Holdings Inc

MarketAxess Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates an electronic trading platform for institutional investor and broker-dealer firms in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company offers trading technology to access liquidity on its platforms in U.S. high-grade bonds, U.S. high-yield bonds, emerging market debt, eurobonds, municipal bonds, U.S. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$162.50
Market Cap$5.70B
Float29.6M
Shares Outstanding35.2M
P/E (Forward)19.88
P/E (TTM)19.11
Price/Sales (TTM)6.55
vs. Analyst Target-2.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin35.22%
Operating Margin (TTM)41.86%
Revenue (TTM)$870M
Earnings Growth (YoY)1.00%
Dividend Rate3.1%
Analyst Target Price$158.00 (15 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $689M $299M $555M $418M
2021 $701M $258M $529M $395M
2022 $719M $250M $519M $406M
2023 $751M $258M $524M $411M
2024 $818M $274M $574M $443M
2025 $849M $247M $593M $453M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $211M $68.2M
Dec 2025 $207M $92.2M
Mar 2026 $233M $77.9M
Jun 2026 $218M $68.1M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.9%
Institutional Ownership114.3%
Short Float5.2%
% of All Funds Holding4.43%
Number of Funds Holding390

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$138.54Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$157.01Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$178.62Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$226.17Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$159.69Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$180.58Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$209.25Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$116.00 support 1.73x 0 months ago
$207.00 resistance 1.25x 11 months ago
$259.00 resistance 1.15x 19 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (87 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.21% 0.15% 55.17% 6.85% -2.04%
1 Day 0.63% 0.66% 62.07% 9.16% -6.43%
1 Week 0.92% 0.10% 50.57% 18.45% -9.98%
2 Weeks 0.85% -0.12% 48.28% 24.62% -13.07%
1 Month 2.64% 3.76% 62.79% 29.30% -23.94%

Next earnings: October 18, 2026 (53 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-1.7%36.4%22
Feb1.8%68.2%22
Mar2.1%63.6%22
Apr0.2%45.5%22
May-0.7%40.9%22
Jun-0.8%54.5%22
Jul6.2%77.3%22
Aug1.0%57.1%21
Sep-1.6%38.1%21
Oct2.5%61.9%21
Nov4.0%71.4%21
Dec3.4%59.1%22

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.02% 51.2% 1028
Tuesday -0.01% 48.3% 1126
Wednesday -0.03% 50.4% 1126
Thursday 0.26% 51.2% 1104
Friday 0.20% 50.9% 1098

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 114.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.9%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings11
Net Value-$418,470.08
Net Shares Change-3,994
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings10
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Casper Stephen P -$298,544 1 1 sell
McPherson Kevin M Chief Revenue Officer -$276,868.08 1 1 sell
Pintoff Scott General Counsel and Secretary -$123,817 8 N/A

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-09-15 McPherson Kevin M Chief Revenue Officer -$276,868.08 Transaction at $185.32, now -12.3%
2025-09-09 Casper Stephen P -$298,544 Transaction at $186.59, now -12.9%
2026-08-10 Pintoff Scott General Counsel and Secretary -$16,260 Transaction at $162.60, now -0.1%
2026-07-10 Pintoff Scott General Counsel and Secretary -$11,512 Transaction at $115.12, now +41.2%
2026-06-12 Pintoff Scott General Counsel and Secretary -$11,603 Transaction at $116.03, now +40.0%
2026-05-11 Pintoff Scott General Counsel and Secretary -$14,699 Transaction at $146.99, now +10.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for MarketAxess Holdings Inc (MKTX) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MKTX on Trend Edge →